Skip to main content
Log in

Development and evaluation of multi-agent models of online social influence based on Cialdini’s principles

  • Original Article
  • Published:
Social Network Analysis and Mining Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

The aim of this study is to better understand social influence in online social media. Therefore, we propose a method in which we implement, validate and improve individual behavior models. The behavior model is based on three fundamental behavioral principles of social influence from the literature (i.e., Cialdini’s principles): (1) consistency, (2) liking and (3) social proof. We have implemented the model using an agent-based modeling approach. The multi-agent model contains the social network structure, individual behavior parameters and the scenario that are obtained from empirical data. The model is validated by comparing the output of the multi-agent simulation with empirical data. We demonstrate the method by evaluating five versions of behavior models applied to the use case of Twitter behavior about a talent show on Dutch television.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Institutional subscriptions

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • The Voice Kids (2012). http://www.thevoicekids.nl Premiered on RTL 4

  • Ajzen I (1991) The theory of planned behavior. Organ Behav Hum Decis Process 50(2):179–211

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Barabási AL, Albert R (1999) Emergence of scaling in random networks. Science 286(5439):509–512

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Bass FM (1969) A new product growth for model consumer durables. Manag Sci 15:215227

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bonabeau E (2002) Agent-based modeling: Methods and techniques for simulating human systems. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 99(3):7280–7287

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bratman M (1987) Intention, plans, and practical reason. Harvard University Press, Cambridge

    Google Scholar 

  • Cialdini RB (2001) Influence: Science and practice, 4th edn. Allyn & Bacon, Boston

    Google Scholar 

  • Franses PH, Paap R (2010) Quantitative models in marketing research. Cambridge University Press, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Garcia R, Jager W (2011) Introductory special issue on agent-based modeling of innovation diffusion. J Prod Innov Manag 28:148–151

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Goldenberg J, Lowengart O, Shapira D (2009) Zooming in: Self-emergence of movements in new product growth. Mark Sci 28(2):274292

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Holland J (1995) Hidden order: how adaptation builds complexity. Addison Wesley, Reading

    Google Scholar 

  • Johns M (2007) Human behavior modeling within an integrative framework. Ph.D. thesis, University of Pennsylvania

  • Koster S (2012) Modelling individual and collective choice behaviour in social networks: An approach combining a nested conditional logit model with latent classes and an agent based model. Master’s thesis, Erasmus University Rotterdam

  • Langley DJ, Bijmolt THA, Ortt JR, Pals N (2012) Determinants of social contagion during new product adoption. J Prod Innov Manag 29(4):623–638

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Macal CM (2010) To agent-based simulation from system dynamics. In: Johansson B, Jain S, Montoya-Torres J, Hugan J, Yncesan E (eds.) Proceedings of the 2010 winter simulation conference

  • Monge PR, Contractor NS (2003) Theories of communication networks. Oxford University Press, Oxford

    Google Scholar 

  • North M, Collier N, Ozik J, Tatara E, Altaweel M, Macal C, Bragen M, Sydelko P (2013) Complex adaptive systems modeling with repast simphony. Complex Adapt Syst Model 1(3):1–26

    Google Scholar 

  • Rao A, Georgeff MP (1995) BDI-agents: From theory to practice. In: Proceedings of the first international conference on multiagent systems (ICMAS’95), pp 312–319

  • Remondino M (2005) Reactive and deliberative agents applied to simulation of socio-economical and biological systems. Int J Simul 6(12–13):11–25

    Google Scholar 

  • Schelling TC (1978) Micromotives and macrobehavior, W W Norton & Company Incorporated

    Google Scholar 

  • Simon H (1955) A behavioral model of rational choice. Q J Econ 69:99188

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Watts JD, Dodds PS (2007) Influentials, networks, and public opinion formation. J Consum Res 34(4):441–458

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wedel M, DeSarbo W (1995) A mixture likelihood approach for generalized linear models. J Classif 12(1):21–55

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Weng L, Flammini A, Vespignani A, Menczer F (2012) Competition among memes in a world with limited attention. Sci Rep 2:335

  • Zhang T, Zhang D (2007) Agent-based simulation of consumer purchase decision-making and the decoy effect. J Bus Res 60:912–922

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgments

The authors would like to thank Susanne Koster, David Langley, Olav Aarts and Jan Maarten Schraagen for their efforts to make this research possible.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Peter-Paul van Maanen.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

van Maanen, PP., van der Vecht, B. Development and evaluation of multi-agent models of online social influence based on Cialdini’s principles. Soc. Netw. Anal. Min. 4, 218 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1007/s13278-014-0218-0

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s13278-014-0218-0

Keywords

Navigation