Abstract
In order to accurately determine the auto insurance rate of UBI, this paper proposes to use fuzzy controller to calculate the rate and optimize it by using the simulated annealing particle swarm algorithm with Metropolis criterion. Firstly, a fuzzy controller is constructed by selecting monthly mileage and violation times to calculate the self-underwriting coefficient. In order to eliminate the subjectivity defect of fuzzy controller, the correlation function of independent underwriting coefficient and historical risk data is proposed as the fitness function of evaluating fuzzy rules, using adaptive simulated annealing particle swarm optimization algorithm is intelligent search, according to the fitness value of continual iteration and optimize the optimal fuzzy rules. Finally, the fuzzy controller is reconstructed with the optimal fuzzy rules to estimate the auto insurance rate accurately. The results show that the adaptive simulated annealing particle swarm optimization algorithm can effectively extract the driving behavior information and can calculate the more reasonable and accurate autonomous underwriting coefficient. The results are highly correlated with the number of historical accidents and have the ability and stability of risk quantification.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
National Bureau of Statistics of People’s Republic of China, China Statistical Yearbook, (2018)
Dai, M.: Business fare to enter the deep water area-sma and medium-sized insurance enterprises differentiation development for breakthrough, China Financial News Network (2018)
Hu, X., Chiu, Y.-C., Ma, Y.-L., Zhu, L.: Studying driving risk factors using multi-source mobile computing data. Int. J. Transport. Sci. Technol. 4(3), 295–312 (2015)
Dijksterhuis, C., Lewis-Evans, B., Jelijs, B., de Waard, D., Brookhuis, K., Tucha, O.: The impact of immediate or delayed feedback on driving behaviour in a simulated Pay-As-You-Drive system. Accid. Analy. Prev. 75, 93–104 (2015)
Ma, Y.L., Zhu, X., Hu, X., Chiu, Y.C.: The use of context-sensitive insurance telematics data in auto insurance rate making. Transport. Res. 113, 243–258 (2018)
Arbabzadeh, N., Jafari, M.A.: Data-driven approach for driving safety risk prediction using driver behavior and roadway information data. IEEE Trans. Intell. Transport. Syst. 99, 1–15 (2017)
Zhu, S.: UBI-based car insurance rate determination mode and method research. Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing Jiaotong University (2015)
Gao, Y.: UBI rate determination model based on driving behavior classification. Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing (2017)
Liu, X., Feng, Y., Mi, H.: Application of GAMLSS model in auto insurance pricing. Math. Pract. Theory 47(11), 1–8 (2017)
Zhang, L., Wang, X.: Determination of auto insurance rates under large-value claims. Stat. Inform. Forum 34(01), 58–63 (2019)
Peng, J., Liu, N., Zhao, H.: Research on intelligent UBI system. Comput. Technol. Dev. 26(01), 142–146 (2016)
Wang, X.: Research on UBI pricing model based on natural driving data. Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing (2018)
Garg, H.: An efficient biogeography based optimization algorithm for solving reliability optimization problems. Swarm Evol. Comput. 24, 1–10 (2015)
Garg, H.: A hybrid GA-GSA algorithm for optimizing the performance of an industrial system by utilizing uncertain data. In: Handbook of research on artificial intelligence techniques and algorithms. pp. 620–654, (2015)
Garg, H.: A hybrid GSA-GA algorithm for constrained optimization problems. Inform. Sci. 478, 499–523 (2019)
Garg, H.: A hybrid PSO-GA algorithm for constrained optimization problems. Appl. Math. Comput. 274, 292–305 (2016)
Patwal, R.S., Narang, N., Garg, H.: A novel TVAC-PSO based mutation strategies algorithm for generation scheduling of pumped storage hydrothermal system incorporating solar units. Energy 142, 822–837 (2018)
Pan, A., Wang, L., Guo, W., Wu, Q.: A probability-based coevolving multi-objective algorithm for antenna array synthesis. Appl. Soft Comput. J. 73, 178–191 (2018)
Meng, Q., Qiu, R., Zhang, M., et al.: Agricultural vehicle navigation system based on improved particle swarm optimization fuzzy control. Trans. Chin. Soc. Agric. Mach. 46(3), 29–36 (2015). 58
Wang, G., Huang, Z., Dai, M.: Research on fuzzy control of brushless motor based on improved particle swarm optimization algorithm. J. Guangxi Normal Univ. 34(2), 21–27 (2016)
Liu, Q.: Design and application of fuzzy controller based on particle swarm optimization, Shenyang University of Technology, Liaoning (2017)
Eberhart, R., Kennedy, K.: A new optimizer using particle swarm theory, MHS’95. In: Proceedings of the sixth international symposium on micro machine and human science, pp. 39–43, (1995)
Kirkpatrick, B.S., Gelatt, C., Vecchi, D.: Optimization by simulated annealing. Science 220, 71–80 (1983)
Jiang, L.: Internet car insurance UBI product design. Zhejiang University, Zhenjiang (2017)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Electronic supplementary material
Below is the link to the electronic supplementary material.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Yan, C., Ou, Z., Liu, W. et al. Research on UBI Auto Insurance Pricing Model Based on Adaptive SAPSO to Optimize the Fuzzy Controller. Int. J. Fuzzy Syst. 22, 491–503 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s40815-019-00789-6
Received:
Revised:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40815-019-00789-6