Elsevier

Decision Support Systems

Volume 41, Issue 1, November 2005, Pages 189-204
Decision Support Systems

An e-customer behavior model with online analytical mining for internet marketing planning

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dss.2004.11.012Get rights and content

Abstract

In the digital market, attracting sufficient online traffic in a business to customer Web site is vital to an online business's success. The changing patterns of Internet surfer access to e-commerce sites pose challenges for the Internet marketing teams of online companies. For e-business to grow, a system must be devised to provide customers' preferred traversal patterns from product awareness and exploration to purchase commitment. Such knowledge can be discovered by synthesizing a large volume of Web access data through information compression to produce a view of the frequent access patterns of e-customers. This paper develops constructs for measuring the online movement of e-customers, and uses a mental cognitive model to identify the four important dimensions of e-customer behavior, abstract their behavioral changes by developing a three-phase e-customer behavioral graph, and tests the instrument via a prototype that uses an online analytical mining (OLAM) methodology. The knowledge discovered is expected to foster the development of a marketing plan for B2C Web sites. A prototype with an empirical Web server log file is used to verify the feasibility of the methodology.

Introduction

In e-commerce, the current challenge is determining how to design responsive Web site infrastructure that provides a sustainable competitive advantage through a better understanding of target customers. The quality of an e-commerce site depends on interrelated factors such as site architecture, network capacity, Web services, and the unpredictability of e-customer behavior. These characteristics imply the need to measure the behavior of the Web-based system and its users. Knowledge management is the key to business learning. The technologies that support knowledge management in e-business are data warehousing, data mining, the Internet, and document management systems [21], [25], [26].

Online marketing aims to produce online revenue by understanding customer needs. Meeting this objective requires knowledge of how e-customers' online movements change from awareness of products to the exploration of options and further to purchase commitment. An online analytical mining (OLAM) system using an underlying cognitive model and e-customer behavioral graph can be used to articulate the online activities of e-customers on a particular Web site. This can provide the framework of an e-customer behavior (eCB) model that can be used to discover e-customer profiles which identify the significant dimensions of online behavior and identify Web pages that trigger behavior changes. The knowledge thereby obtained will foster informed Internet marketing decision making, and allow Web content and infrastructure refinement to support Internet marketing.

Section snippets

Current background, theoretical underpinnings and hypotheses

Electronic commerce (EC) is growing rapidly, and offers a diversity of related issues to investigate. Ngai [18] presents a literature review and classification scheme for EC research. Over 78% of EC research has been focused on applications, implementation and technical issues, and only 9% has touched the topic of e-customers, with very few studies directly addressing the issue of e-customer preferences and their effects on Web site acceptability. Because e-customers learn fast and want Web

The OLAM methodology

Our OLAM system for path traversal patterns includes incremental Web usage mining updates [8], [13], [27], [28]. It stores the derived Web user access paths in a data warehouse. The system updates the user access path pattern in the data warehouse by data operation functions that are automated by webmaster. The result is an OLAM that uses the underlying e-customer behavior graph, which is capable of discovering association semantics between tick sequences, e-customer profiles for customer

Prototype

We verify the eCB model by using a prototype. Section 4.1 provides an outline of our OLAM process with data flow diagrams. Section 4.2 explains the prototype system. The Web log file was collected from the Computer Science Laboratory Web site of the City University of Hong Kong. The site hosts a variety of information, ranging from departmental information and courses to individual Web sites. We identified seven pages for our empirical study.

  • Page 1 (P1):

    Department history, facilities, and message from

Conclusions and future research

This paper proposes an eCB model that uses an OLAM methodology to discover e-customer behavioral changes on a Web site to support Internet marketing. We undertake an empirical study using a prototype built upon the eCB model to verify its feasibility. Our prototype identifies different customer segments according to their successful path frequencies, counting sessions that result in purchases, the referring Web pages that determine targeted e-customer behavioral changes, and, based on the

Acknowledgments

The authors acknowledge the valuable and constructive comments that were received from the editor and the three referees. We are indebted to them for their invaluable advice, which has greatly improved the quality of this paper.

This work was greatly supported by the University Grant Committee of Lingnan University of Hong Kong (grant code: DR03A5); Irene Kwan, Department of Computing and Decision Sciences, Lingnan University, Hong Kong.

Dr. Irene S.Y. Kwan is an associate professor of the Computing and Decisions Sciences Department at Lingnan University of Hong Kong. She is also the Assistant Director of business programmes in her University. She received her PhD degree from Brunel University of London in 1999. Kwan has published over 30 research papers in key journals and conferences. Her research interests are in intelligence business, knowledge management, knowledge discovery and data mining.

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