Data assimilation of satellite-based actual evapotranspiration in a distributed hydrological model of a controlled water system

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jag.2016.12.015Get rights and content

Highlights

  • The particle filter data assimilation framework that uses the spatial satellite-based evapotranspiration data has been implemented.

  • It has been shown that use of data assimilation in the highly controlled water system results in the increased accuracy of discharge simulation.

  • Open-source software is utilized for the data assimilation framework.

Abstract

Advances in earth observation (EO) and spatially distributed hydrological modelling provide an opportunity to improve modelling of controlled water systems. In a controlled water system human interference is high, which may lead to incorrect parameterisation in the model calibration phase. This paper analyses whether assimilation of EO actual evapotranspiration (ETa) data can improve discharge simulation with a spatially distributed hydrological model of a controlled water system. The EO ETa estimates are in the form of eight-day ETa composite maps derived from Terra/MODIS images using the ITA-MyWater algorithm. This algorithm is based on the surface energy balance method and is calibrated for this research for a low-lying reclamation area with a heavily controlled water system: the Rijnland area in the Netherlands. Data assimilation (DA) with the particle filter method is applied to assimilate the ETa maps into a spatially distributed hydrological model. The hydrological model and DA framework are applied using the open source software SIMGRO and PCRaster-Python respectively. The analysis is done for a period between July and October 2013 in which a high discharge peak followed a long dry-spell. The assimilation of EO ETa resulted in local differences in modelled ETa compared to simulation without data assimilation, while the area average ETa remained almost the same. The modelled cumulative discharge graphs, with and without DA, showed distinctive differences with the simulation, with DA better matching the measured cumulative discharge. The bias of simulated cumulative discharge to the observed data reduced from 14% to 4% when using DA of EO ETa. These results showed that assimilating EO ETa may not only be effective in the more common applications of soil moisture and crop-growth modelling, but also for improving discharge modelling of controlled water systems.

Introduction

In a controlled water system (CWS), hydrological variables and system states are partly determined by man-made control structures. Usually, in such systems the water flow is controlled by regulating structures aiming at maintaining the water level or discharge to a certain target level for a certain period. A typical example of a CWS is an irrigation system, with weirs, channels and gates to regulate the water flow. Inside the CWS, human influences highly affect the hydrological states. In low-lying land reclamation areas, such as in large parts of the Netherlands, human influence may be stronger still, for example because of the use of pre-pumping determined by forecasted heavy rainfall events, or because of flushing of the canals to maintain good water quality in the system. Modelling a CWS differs from modelling a natural water system since modellers should not only focus on the hydrodynamic and numerical challenges of the modelling system (Clemmens et al., 2005) but also take into account a high degree of freedom with many unknown events triggered by structures or human decisions (often unregistered). At the same time, data availability for CWS is typically higher than that for a natural system (van Andel et al., 2010).

Remote sensing images can provide additional data for distributed hydrological models. A number of satellite missions and platforms are of specific interest for hydrological studies. These are mainly sensor systems that combine thermal infrared and optical data, such as the Thematic Mapper (TM), Enhanced Thematic Mapper Plus (ETM + ), Operational Land Imager (OLI) and Thermal Infrared Scanner (TIRS) on board of the Landsat satellite series, the Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) on board NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) satellite series, the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectro-radiometer (MODIS) on board of the Terra and Aqua satellites, and the upcoming Sentinels (Sentinel-2 and Sentinel-3). Of equal interest are the active and passive radar systems, such as the RADARSAT, TerraSAR-X, COSMO-SkyMed, and Sentinel-1. Apart from the sensor’s spectral definition, revisit time and spatial resolution are important considerations to determine the suitability of a sensor for hydrological monitoring and modelling.

Earth observation (EO) instruments measure the hydrological variables or parameters indirectly, so an interpretative model has to be used to estimate their actual values. The variables important for hydrological modelling that can be retrieved by EO imagery, are, e.g. land use/land cover, natural vegetation cover, leaf area index, biomass, ground surface elevation, and surface energy balance parameters (Schultz and Engman, 2000). However, the accuracy of estimated variables may vary, depending on the sensor, region, atmospheric conditions and local surface conditions, so the accuracy of EO products differs in space and time.

Data assimilation (DA) is expected to help in combining the strengths of the EO information and the hydrological model to better characterize the modelled state (Dorigo et al., 2007). EO provides the hydrological model with a measured estimation of a certain hydrological variable at the moments when the EO data is available (Errico, 1999, Errico et al., 2000), and the DA process modifies the model states to result in a hydrological state that is closer to the state as estimated by EO.

Use of DA of EO data for hydrological modelling has been demonstrated in a number of studies. For example, the soil moisture estimation from EO data has been assimilated in hydrological models by, amongst others, Hoeben and Troch (2000), Reichle et al., 2002, Reichle et al., 2001, Lee et al. (2011), Han et al. (2012), and Lievens et al. (2015). Assimilation of soil moisture combined with leaf area index (LAI) has been shown to improve crop-growth model results (Pauwels et al., 2007). In addition, the combination of soil moisture with stream flow DA has been carried out, e.g. by Aubert et al. (2003) and Wanders et al. (2014). Snow cover area has been successfully assimilated to improve stream flow simulation, e.g. by Clark et al. (2006), Nagler et al. (2008), and De Lannoy et al. (2012). It should be noted however, that microwave remote sensing gives an estimate of soil moisture in the top few centimetres, while thermal infrared images combined with surface energy balance algorithms may provide information extending to the root zone (Alexandridis et al., 2016).

Studies assimilating EO-based actual evapotranspiration (ETa) into distributed hydrological models are more limited, and usually not always with the aim of improving discharge simulation. For example, Olioso et al. (2005), Vazifedoust et al. (2009), and Irmak and Kamble (2009) performed DA of EO ETa for improving crop-growth models. Schuurmans et al. (2003) demonstrated that the assimilation of 1 km resolution NOAA-AVHRR latent heat flux data could improve the ETa simulation of a distributed hydrological model. Qin et al. (2008) assimilated ETa into a distributed hydrological model and analysed the improvement in ETa simulation. Xie and Zhang (2010) tried to improve discharge simulation using ETa assimilation, however, the ETa assimilation was only supplementary to the assimilation of measured discharge.

So far no studies have been done on DA of ETa in controlled water systems. The aim of this paper is to study the effectiveness of assimilation of EO ETa in a distributed hydrological model for improving discharge simulation of a controlled water system.

Section snippets

Rijnland water system

The Rijnland area is located in the western part of the Netherlands, the location is presented in Fig. 1a. 70% Of the 1200 km2 area is a low-lying region where the ground surface is below the mean sea level (0.00 m +NAP, Normaal Amsterdams Peil), as shown in Fig. 1a where the white to blue colours indicate levels below mean sea level. Rijnland is divided into more than 200 polders and sub-polders (Fig. 1b): controlled catchment sub-areas where dikes prevent water from outside to flood the area

Results and discussion

The SIMGRO hydrological model is validated against the measured total discharge of the four main pumping stations mentioned in section 2.1, for the year 2011. However, the human influence is high in the operation of the pumps. The human influence may lead to un-natural patterns in the observed discharge time series. For instance, there can be changes in the target water level in the canals or need of flushing, hence additional water needs to be supplied to the system. Furthermore, there might

Conclusions

This research has implemented data assimilation of EO ETa in a distributed hydrological model to analyse the effect on simulated discharge from controlled water systems. A particle filter algorithm with residual resampling was used. The results for the controlled water system of Rijnland in the Netherlands showed an increased accuracy of simulated discharge. This indicates that assimilating EO ETa may not only have value for the more common applications in soil moisture and crop-growth

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