Simultaneous Prediction of Wind Speed and Direction by Evolutionary Fuzzy Rule Forest

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.procs.2017.05.195Get rights and content
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Abstract

An accurate estimate of wind speed and direction is important for many application domains including weather prediction, smart grids, and e.g. traffic management. These two environmental variables depend on a number of factors and are linked together. Evolutionary fuzzy rules, based on fuzzy information retrieval and genetic programming, have been used to solve a variety of real–world regression and classification tasks. They were, however, limited by the ability to estimate only one variable by a single model. In this work, we introduce an extended version of this predictor that facilitates an artificial evolution of forests of fuzzy rules. In this way, multiple variables can be predicted by a single model that is able to comprehend complex relations between input and output variables. The usefulness of the proposed concept is demonstrated by the evolution of forests of fuzzy rules for simultaneous wind speed and direction prediction.

Keywords

machine learning
fuzzy rules
compound classifier
forecasting
wind speed
direction

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