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Emergence and development of grey systems theory

Sifeng Liu (Institute for Grey Systems Studies, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing, People's Republic of China)
Jeffrey Forrest (Mathematics Department, Slippery Rock University, Slippery Rock, Pennsylvania, USA)
Robert Vallee (World Organisation of Systems and Cybernetics, Paris, France)

Kybernetes

ISSN: 0368-492X

Article publication date: 7 August 2009

1156

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to present the scientific background from which grey systems theory came into being, the astonishing progress that grey systems theory has made in the world of learning and its wide‐ranging applications in the entire spectrum of science.

Design/methodology/approach

The grey uncertainty is compared with other kinds of uncertainty such as stochastic uncertainty, unascertainty, fuzzy and rough uncertainty.

Findings

The advances in grey systems theory and its various successful applications are introduced individually by algorithms of grey numbers and grey algebraic systems, grey dynamic models and grey predictions, grey optimization analysis for decision making, grey control models.

Research limitations/implications

Many scientific theories require the unremitting efforts of several generations of people and have gone through hundreds of years before reaching maturity and perfection. Grey systems theory is still in its growth period. So, it is unavoidable that there exist immature and imperfect parts in the theory.

Originality/value

Grey systems theory is a new method for studying problems of uncertainty with few data points and poor information. This new theory studies small samples and systems with poor information, which have partial information known, partial information unknown. It describes adequately and monitors effectively systems' operations and evolutions through extracting valuable information from the little known information. Grey systems theory comes into being along with the development of modern systems science and uncertainty systems theories and methods. It is also a result of deepened perceptivity about uncertain systems.

Keywords

Citation

Liu, S., Forrest, J. and Vallee, R. (2009), "Emergence and development of grey systems theory", Kybernetes, Vol. 38 No. 7/8, pp. 1246-1256. https://doi.org/10.1108/03684920910976943

Publisher

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Emerald Group Publishing Limited

Copyright © 2009, Emerald Group Publishing Limited

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