The study on the coupling model of unconventional incidents
Abstract
Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to attempt to realize a complete analysis at scenario deduction of unconventional incidents coupling based on the GERTS network method.
Design/methodology/approach
Starting from the manifestation of coupling objects, three types of emergency coupling are analyzed according to different rules, which are “events‐events” coupling, “event‐factors” coupling and “factors‐factors” coupling. Then the coupling mechanism for emergency is focused on analyzing, and the concepts of three types of coupling are put forward, at the same time, three quantitative models for coupling mechanisms are present. Also, a case was discussed to verify the analysis of coupling mechanism of emergency.
Findings
According to the types of factors rules, the classes of coupling of emergency have been divided into three types. The coupling mechanism of emergency can be used to describe the novel coupling models.
Practical implications
This research provides the method for coupling analysis in the scenario of unconventional incidents and guides the emergency managers to develop contingency strategies.
Originality/value
The paper succeeds in constructing a novel coupling model for emergency, and it could provide an effective tool for a quantitative study on unconventional incidents coupling.
Keywords
Citation
Yang, B., Fang, S. and Zhao, J. (2012), "The study on the coupling model of unconventional incidents", Kybernetes, Vol. 41 No. 5/6, pp. 664-673. https://doi.org/10.1108/03684921211243329
Publisher
:Emerald Group Publishing Limited
Copyright © 2012, Emerald Group Publishing Limited