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Identification and evaluation of active fault in the reservoir head of Three Gorges Project based on grey statistical model

Jun Zhang (College of Land Management, Huazhong Agricultural University, Wuhan, People's Republic of China)
Zuqiang Liu (Changjiang Geotechnical Engineering Corporation, Wuhan, People's Republic of China and Changjiang Institute of Survey Planning Design and Research, Changjiang Water Resources Commission, Wuhan, People's Republic of China)
Yanjie Liu (Changjiang Geotechnical Engineering Corporation, Wuhan, People's Republic of China and Changjiang Institute of Survey Planning Design and Research, Changjiang Water Resources Commission, Wuhan, People's Republic of China)
Yong Liu (Hubei Institute of Water Resource and Water Power Survey Planning and Design, Wuhan, People's Republic of China)

Grey Systems: Theory and Application

ISSN: 2043-9377

Article publication date: 17 August 2012

184

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to apply grey statistical model to identify and classify live fault rupture.

Design/methodology/approach

Based on grey statistical mode, this paper uses eight faults' ripping speed observation data from 1997 to 2001, according to the grey statistics method for analysis, and recognizes active fault rupture situation. Using the conventional methods, namely taking all faults monitoring stations' average dislocation rate to analysis and make judgment, the average results are obtained.

Findings

The results show that the results are closer to reality because the grey statistical evaluation method has considered dislocation rate and other discrete factors.

Practical implications

The method exposed in the paper can be used to monitor and recognize live fault rupture in earthquake prediction.

Originality/value

According to the fault dislocation rate, this paper advances active fault rupture identification and classification method based on grey statistical model.

Keywords

Citation

Zhang, J., Liu, Z., Liu, Y. and Liu, Y. (2012), "Identification and evaluation of active fault in the reservoir head of Three Gorges Project based on grey statistical model", Grey Systems: Theory and Application, Vol. 2 No. 2, pp. 299-310. https://doi.org/10.1108/20439371211260252

Publisher

:

Emerald Group Publishing Limited

Copyright © 2012, Emerald Group Publishing Limited

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