Parameter estimation of nonlinear nitrate prediction model using genetic algorithm | IEEE Conference Publication | IEEE Xplore

Parameter estimation of nonlinear nitrate prediction model using genetic algorithm


Abstract:

We attack the problem of predicting nitrate concentrations in a stream by using a genetic algorithm to minimize the difference between observed and predicted concentratio...Show More

Abstract:

We attack the problem of predicting nitrate concentrations in a stream by using a genetic algorithm to minimize the difference between observed and predicted concentrations on hydrologic nitrate concentration model based on a US Geological Survey collected data set. Nitrate plays a significant role in maintaining ecological balance in aquatic ecosystems and any advances in nitrate prediction accuracy will improve our understanding of the non-linear interplay between the factors that impact aquatic ecosystem health. We compare the genetic algorithm tuned model against the LOADEST estimation tool in current use by hydrologists, and against a random forest, generalized linear regression, decision tree, and gradient booted tree and show that the genetic algorithm does statistically significantly better. These results indicate that genetic algorithms are a viable approach to tuning such non-linear, hydrologic models.
Date of Conference: 05-08 June 2017
Date Added to IEEE Xplore: 07 July 2017
ISBN Information:
Conference Location: Donostia, Spain

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