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Forecasting stock price directional movements using technical indicators: Investigating window size effects on one-step-ahead forecasting | IEEE Conference Publication | IEEE Xplore

Forecasting stock price directional movements using technical indicators: Investigating window size effects on one-step-ahead forecasting


Abstract:

Accurate forecasting of directional changes in stock prices is important for algorithmic trading and investment management. Technical analysis has been successfully used ...Show More

Abstract:

Accurate forecasting of directional changes in stock prices is important for algorithmic trading and investment management. Technical analysis has been successfully used in financial forecasting and recently researchers have explored the optimization of parameters for technical indicators. This study investigates the relationship between the window size used for calculating technical indicators and the accuracy of one-step-ahead (variable steps) forecasting. The directions of the future price movements are predicted using technical analysis and machine learning algorithms. Results show a correlation between window size and forecasting step size for the Support Vector Machines approach but not for the other approaches.
Date of Conference: 27-28 March 2014
Date Added to IEEE Xplore: 16 October 2014
Electronic ISBN:978-1-4799-2380-9
Print ISSN: 2380-8454
Conference Location: London, UK

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