An ensemble nonlinear model predictive control algorithm in an artificial pancreas for people with type 1 diabetes | IEEE Conference Publication | IEEE Xplore

An ensemble nonlinear model predictive control algorithm in an artificial pancreas for people with type 1 diabetes


Abstract:

This paper presents a novel ensemble nonlinear model predictive control (NMPC) algorithm for glucose regulation in type 1 diabetes. In this approach, we consider a number...Show More

Abstract:

This paper presents a novel ensemble nonlinear model predictive control (NMPC) algorithm for glucose regulation in type 1 diabetes. In this approach, we consider a number of scenarios describing different uncertainties, for instance meals or metabolic variations. We simulate a population of 9 patients with different physiological parameters and a time-varying insulin sensitivity using the Medtronic Virtual Patient (MVP) model. We augment the MVP model with stochastic diffusion terms, time-varying insulin sensitivity and noise-corrupted CGM measurements. We consider meal challenges where the uncertainty in meal size is ± 50%. Numerical results show that the ensemble NMPC reduces the risk of hypoglycemia compared to standard NMPC in the case where the meal size is overestimated or correctly estimated at the expense of a slightly increased number of hyperglycemia. Therefore, ensemble MPC-based algorithms can improve the safety of the AP compared to the classical MPC-based algorithms.
Date of Conference: 29 June 2016 - 01 July 2016
Date Added to IEEE Xplore: 09 January 2017
ISBN Information:
Conference Location: Aalborg, Denmark

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