Fuzzy Interval Modelling based on Joint Supervision | IEEE Conference Publication | IEEE Xplore

Fuzzy Interval Modelling based on Joint Supervision


Abstract:

This paper presents a new methodology for Prediction Interval (PI) construction based on a modified Takagi-Sugeno fuzzy system trained with a joint Supervision loss funct...Show More

Abstract:

This paper presents a new methodology for Prediction Interval (PI) construction based on a modified Takagi-Sugeno fuzzy system trained with a joint Supervision loss function. Given a desired coverage level, this model is capable of providing predictions of the expected value of the system along with the interval bounds. This methodology is tested by simulation experiments using a dataset containing real temperature data from a rural community in southern Chile. The proposed model was compared with a state-of-the-art Takagi-Sugeno Fuzzy Numbers model. It was shown that the Joint Supervision method manages to obtain slightly superior results to the Fuzzy Numbers approach while greatly reducing the complexity of the training loss function. Additionally, since the proposed model was trained using Particle Swarm Optimization, further performance improvements could be made by employing gradient-based optimization algorithms, since they are compatible with the Joint Supervision loss function.
Date of Conference: 19-24 July 2020
Date Added to IEEE Xplore: 26 August 2020
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Conference Location: Glasgow, UK

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