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Oil Price Forecasting Using Supervised GANs with Continuous Wavelet Transform Features | IEEE Conference Publication | IEEE Xplore

Oil Price Forecasting Using Supervised GANs with Continuous Wavelet Transform Features


Abstract:

This paper proposes a novel approach based on a supervised Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) model that forecasts the crude oil prices with Adaptive Scales Continuou...Show More

Abstract:

This paper proposes a novel approach based on a supervised Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) model that forecasts the crude oil prices with Adaptive Scales Continuous Wavelet Transform (AS-CWT). In our study, we first confirmed that the possibility of using Continuous Wavelet Transform (CWT) to decompose an oil price series into various components, such as the sequence of days, weeks, months and years, so that the decomposed new time series can be used as inputs for a deep-learning (DL) training model. Second, we find that applying the proposed adaptive scales in the CWT method can strengthen the dependence of inputs and provide more useful information, which can improve the forecasting performance. Finally, we use the supervised GANs model as a training model, which can provide more accurate forecasts than those of the naive forecast (NF) model and other nonlinear models, such as Neural Networks (NNs), and Deep Belief Networks (DBNs) when dealing with a limited amount of oil prices data.
Date of Conference: 20-24 August 2018
Date Added to IEEE Xplore: 29 November 2018
ISBN Information:
Print on Demand(PoD) ISSN: 1051-4651
Conference Location: Beijing, China

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