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A Deep Hybrid Model for Weather Forecasting

Published:10 August 2015Publication History

ABSTRACT

Weather forecasting is a canonical predictive challenge that has depended primarily on model-based methods. We explore new directions with forecasting weather as a data-intensive challenge that involves inferences across space and time. We study specifically the power of making predictions via a hybrid approach that combines discriminatively trained predictive models with a deep neural network that models the joint statistics of a set of weather-related variables. We show how the base model can be enhanced with spatial interpolation that uses learned long-range spatial dependencies. We also derive an efficient learning and inference procedure that allows for large scale optimization of the model parameters. We evaluate the methods with experiments on real-world meteorological data that highlight the promise of the approach.

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    • Published in

      cover image ACM Conferences
      KDD '15: Proceedings of the 21th ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining
      August 2015
      2378 pages
      ISBN:9781450336642
      DOI:10.1145/2783258

      Copyright © 2015 ACM

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      Publication History

      • Published: 10 August 2015

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      KDD '15 Paper Acceptance Rate160of819submissions,20%Overall Acceptance Rate1,133of8,635submissions,13%

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