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A Novel Time Series Forecasting Approach Considering Data Characteristics

A Novel Time Series Forecasting Approach Considering Data Characteristics

Ling Tang, Shuai Wang, Lean Yu
Copyright: © 2014 |Volume: 5 |Issue: 3 |Pages: 8
ISSN: 1947-8208|EISSN: 1947-8216|EISBN13: 9781466655515|DOI: 10.4018/ijkss.2014070104
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MLA

Tang, Ling, et al. "A Novel Time Series Forecasting Approach Considering Data Characteristics." IJKSS vol.5, no.3 2014: pp.46-53. http://doi.org/10.4018/ijkss.2014070104

APA

Tang, L., Wang, S., & Yu, L. (2014). A Novel Time Series Forecasting Approach Considering Data Characteristics. International Journal of Knowledge and Systems Science (IJKSS), 5(3), 46-53. http://doi.org/10.4018/ijkss.2014070104

Chicago

Tang, Ling, Shuai Wang, and Lean Yu. "A Novel Time Series Forecasting Approach Considering Data Characteristics," International Journal of Knowledge and Systems Science (IJKSS) 5, no.3: 46-53. http://doi.org/10.4018/ijkss.2014070104

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Abstract

A novel time series forecasting approach with consideration of inner knowledge hidden in data, in terms of data characteristics, is proposed. In the proposed methodology, the main data characteristics hidden in the observed time series data are first explored; and according to the data characteristics, suitable forecasting models are formulated to improve prediction performance. For illustration, the proposed methodology is used to predict Chinese total social consumption and total energy consumption. The empirical results show the forecasting model considering data characteristics outperforms other popular forecasting models ignoring data characteristics, which further implies that data characteristics exploration is an important and necessary step in forecasting and the proposed methodology can be used as a promising approach for time series forecasting.

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