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Digital Library of the
European Council for Modelling and Simulation |
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Title: |
Multi-Model
Ecologies For Addressing Multi-Scale, Multi-Perspective Policy Problems |
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Authors: |
L. A. Bollinger |
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Published in:
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(2013).ECMS 2013 Proceedings edited
by: W. Rekdalsbakken, R. T. Bye, H.
Zhang European Council for Modeling and Simulation. doi:10.7148/2013 ISBN:
978-0-9564944-6-7 27th
European Conference on Modelling and Simulation, Aalesund,
Norway, May 27th – 30th,
2013 |
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Citation
format: |
L.
A. Bollinger (2013). Multi-Model Ecologies For Addressing Multi-Scale,
Multi-Perspective Policy Problems, ECMS 2013 Proceedings
edited by: W. Rekdalsbakken, R. T. Bye,
H. Zhang, European Council for Modeling and Simulation. doi:10.7148/2013-0681 |
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DOI: |
http://dx.doi.org/10.7148/2013-0681 |
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Abstract: |
Many
key societal problems share a set of common features – multiple interacting
temporal and spatial scales, multiple valid perspectives, changing
requirements and unquantifiable uncertainties. These characteristics
substantially stress our cognitive and computational resources, limiting our
capacity to effectively address these problems. We introduce an approach for
dealing with the inherent complexity of such problems. At the core of this
approach is the notion of a multi-model ecology – an
interacting and constantly evolving system of models, datasets, interfaces
and humans tasked with enhancing the ability of decision makers to
effectively address a complex policy problem. The multi-model ecology approach
entails the systematic fragmentation and gradual reconstitution of a
problem’s multiple components and dimensions in an evolving participatory context.
We describe an implementation of this approach currently in progress –
focused on electricity infrastructure vulnerability to climate change – and identify
several key areas of research for developing this approach further. |
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