Skip to main content

Prediction of Indoor Movements Using Bayesian Networks

  • Conference paper
Location- and Context-Awareness (LoCA 2005)

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNISA,volume 3479))

Included in the following conference series:

Abstract

This paper investigates the efficiency of in-door next location prediction by comparing several prediction methods. The scenario concerns people in an office building visiting offices in a regular fashion over some period of time. We model the scenario by a dynamic Bayesian network and evaluate accuracy of next room prediction and of duration of stay, training and retraining performance, as well as memory and performance requirements of a Bayesian network predictor. The results are compared with further context predictor approaches – a state predictor and a multi-layer perceptron predictor using exactly the same evaluation set-up and benchmarks. The publicly available Augsburg Indoor Location Tracking Benchmarks are applied as predictor loads. Our results show that the Bayesian network predictor reaches a next location prediction accuracy of up to 90% and a duration prediction accuracy of up to 87% with variations depending on the person and specific predictor set-up. The Bayesian network predictor performs in the same accuracy range as the neural network and the state predictor.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 39.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  1. Ashbrook, D., Starner, T.: Using GPS to learn significant locations and predict movement across multiple users. Personal and Ubiquitous Computing 7(5), 275–286 (2003)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  2. Behrends, E.: Introduction to Marcov Chains. Vieweg (1999)

    Google Scholar 

  3. Bhattacharya, A., Das, S.K.: LeZi-Update: An Information-Theoretic Framework for Personal Mobility Tracking in PCS Networks. Wireless Networks 8, 121–135 (2002)

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  4. Gopalratnam, K., Cook, D.J.: Active LeZi: An Incremental Parsing Algorithm for Sequential Prediction. In: Sixteenth International Florida Artificial Intelligence Research Society Conference, pp. 38–42. St. Augustine, Florida (2003)

    Google Scholar 

  5. Gurney, K.: An Introduction to Neural Networks. Routledge, New York (2002)

    Google Scholar 

  6. Jensen, F.V.: An Introduction to Bayesian Networks. UCL Press, London (1996)

    Google Scholar 

  7. Kaowthumrong, K., Lebsack, J., Han, R.: Automated Selection of the Active Device in Interactive Multi-Device Smart Spaces. In: Workshop at UbiComp 2002: Supporting Spontaneous Interaction in Ubiquitous Computing Settings, Göteborg, Sweden (2002)

    Google Scholar 

  8. Katsiri, E.: Principles of Context Inference. In: Borriello, G., Holmquist, L.E. (eds.) UbiComp 2002. LNCS, vol. 2498, pp. 33–34. Springer, Heidelberg (2002)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  9. Mayrhofer, R.: An Architecture for Context Prediction. In: Advances in Pervasive Computing, number 3-85403-176-9. Austrian Computer Society (OCG) (April 2004)

    Google Scholar 

  10. Mozer, M.C.: The Neural Network House: An Environment that Adapts to its Inhabitants. In: AAAI Spring Symposium on Intelligent Environments, Menlo Park, CA, USA, pp. 110–114 (1998)

    Google Scholar 

  11. Patterson, D.J., Liao, L., Fox, D., Kautz, H.: Inferring high-level behavior from low-level sensors. In: Dey, A.K., Schmidt, A., McCarthy, J.F. (eds.) UbiComp 2003. LNCS, vol. 2864, pp. 73–89. Springer, Heidelberg (2003)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  12. Petzold, J.: Augsburg Indoor Location Tracking Benchmarks. Technical Report 2004-9, Institute of Computer Science, University of Augsburg, Germany (February 2004), http://www.informatik.uni-augsburg.de/skripts/techreports/

  13. Petzold, J.: Augsburg Indoor Location Tracking Benchmarks. Context Database. Institute of Pervasive Computing. University of Linz, Austria (January 2005), http://www.soft.uni-linz.ac.at/Research/Context_Database/index.php

  14. Petzold, J., Bagci, F., Trumler, W., Ungerer, T.: Confidence estimation of the state predictor method. In: Markopoulos, P., Eggen, B., Aarts, E., Crowley, J.L. (eds.) EUSAI 2004. LNCS, vol. 3295, pp. 375–386. Springer, Heidelberg (2004)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  15. Petzold, J., Bagci, F., Trumler, W., Ungerer, T., Vintan, L.: Global State Context Prediction Techniques Applied to a Smart Office Building. In: The Communication Networks and Distributed Systems Modeling and Simulation Conference, San Diego, CA, USA (January 2004)

    Google Scholar 

  16. Rabiner, L.R.: A Tutorial on Hidden Markov Models and Selected Applications in Speech Recognition. IEEE 77(2) (February 1989)

    Google Scholar 

  17. Trumler, W., Bagci, F., Petzold, J., Ungerer, T.: Smart Doorplate. In: First International Conference on Appliance Design (1AD), Bristol, GB (May 2003); Reprinted in Pers. Ubiquit. Comput. 7, 221–226 (2003)

    Google Scholar 

  18. Vintan, L., Gellert, A., Petzold, J., Ungerer, T.: Person Movement Prediction Using Neural Networks. In: First Workshop on Modeling and Retrieval of Context, Ulm, Germany (September 2004)

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2005 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this paper

Cite this paper

Petzold, J., Pietzowski, A., Bagci, F., Trumler, W., Ungerer, T. (2005). Prediction of Indoor Movements Using Bayesian Networks. In: Strang, T., Linnhoff-Popien, C. (eds) Location- and Context-Awareness. LoCA 2005. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 3479. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/11426646_20

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/11426646_20

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-540-25896-4

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-540-32042-5

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics