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Predicting Construction Litigation Outcome Using Particle Swarm Optimization

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Innovations in Applied Artificial Intelligence (IEA/AIE 2005)

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNAI,volume 3533))

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Abstract

Construction claims are normally affected by a large number of complex and interrelated factors. It is highly desirable for the parties to a dispute to know with some certainty how the case would be resolved if it were taken to court. The use of artificial neural networks can be a cost-effective technique to help to predict the outcome of construction claims, on the basis of characteristics of cases and the corresponding past court decisions. In this paper, a particle swarm optimization model is adopted to train perceptrons. The approach is demonstrated to be feasible and effective by predicting the outcome of construction claims in Hong Kong in the last 10 years. The results show faster and more accurate results than its counterparts of a benching back-propagation neural network and that the PSO-based network are able to give a successful prediction rate of up to 80%. With this, the parties would be more prudent in pursuing litigation and hence the number of disputes could be reduced significantly.

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© 2005 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

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Chau, K. (2005). Predicting Construction Litigation Outcome Using Particle Swarm Optimization. In: Ali, M., Esposito, F. (eds) Innovations in Applied Artificial Intelligence. IEA/AIE 2005. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 3533. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/11504894_80

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/11504894_80

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-540-26551-1

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-540-31893-4

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

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