Abstract
Traffic behavior in a large-scale network can be viewed as a complicated non-linear system, so it is very difficult to describe the long-term network traffic behavior in a large-scale network. In this paper, according to the non-linear character of network traffic, the time series of network traffic is decomposed into trend component, period component, mutation component and random component by different mathematical tools. So the complicated traffic can be modeled with these four simpler sub-series tools. In order to check the decomposed model, the long-term traffic behavior of the CERNET backbone network is analyzed by means of the decomposed network traffic. The results are compared with ARIMA model. According to autocorrelation function and predicting error function, compounded model can get higher error precision to describe the long-term traffic behavior.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Thompson, K., Miller, G.J., Wilder, R.: Wide-Area Internet Traffic Patterns and Characteristics. IEEE Network 5(6), 10–23 (1997)
Leland, W.E., Taqqu, M.S., Willinger, W., Wilson, D.V.: On the Self-Similar Nature of Ethernet Traffic. IEEE/ACM Transaction on Networking 2(1), 1–15 (1994)
Paxson, V., Flod, S.: Wide-area traffic: The failure of poisson modeling. IEEE/ACM Transactions on Networking 3(3), 226–244 (1995)
Wolski, R.: Forecasting Network Performance to Support Dynamic Scheduling Using the Network Weather Service [DB/OL]. UCSD Technical Report, TR-CS96-494 (1996), http://citeseer.nj.nec.com/wolski98dynamically.html
Basu, S., Mukherjee, A.: Time series models for internet traffic. In: Proc. IEEE INFOCOM 1996, San Francisco, CA, March 1996, vol. 2, pp. 611–620 (1996)
Groschwitz, N., Polyzos, G.: A Time Series Model of Long-term Traffic on the NSFnet Backbone. In: Proceedings of the IEEE International Conference on Communications (ICC 1994), New Orleans, LA (May 1994)
Guangyan, J.: Random Analysis of Hydrology and Water Resource, vol. 5, pp. 406–436. Press of Chinese Science and Technology, Beijing (1992)
Claffy, K., Polyzos, G.C., Braun, H.W.: Traffic Characteristics of The T1 Nsfnet Backbone. In: Proceedings IEEE INFOCOM 1993, San Francisco, California, March 28- April 1, pp. 885–892 (1993)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2005 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
About this paper
Cite this paper
Guang, C., Jian, G., Wei, D. (2005). A Time-Series Decomposed Model of Network Traffic. In: Wang, L., Chen, K., Ong, Y.S. (eds) Advances in Natural Computation. ICNC 2005. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 3611. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/11539117_50
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/11539117_50
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-540-28325-6
Online ISBN: 978-3-540-31858-3
eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)