Skip to main content

Financial Risk Prediction Using Rough Sets Tools: A Case Study

  • Conference paper
Rough Sets, Fuzzy Sets, Data Mining, and Granular Computing (RSFDGrC 2005)

Abstract

Since the Rough Sets Theory was first formulated in 1982, different models based on it have been proposed to be applied in economic and financial prediction. Our aim is to show the development of a method of estimation of the financial risk when a credit is granted to a firm, having into account its countable status. This is a classical example of inference of classification/prediction rules, that is the kind of problem in which the adequacy of Rough Sets methods has been proved. Coming from data concerning industrial companies that were given to us by the Banks that granted the credits, we have obtained a set of classification rules to be used to predict the result of future credit operations.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 84.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  1. Arques, A.: La predicción del fracaso empresarial: Aplicación al riesgo crediticio bancario. Tesis Doctoral, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Universidad de Murcia, Spain (1999)

    Google Scholar 

  2. Dimitras, A.I., Zanakis, S.H., Zopounidis, C.: A survey of business failure with an emphasis on prediction methods and industrial applications. European Journal of Operational Research 90, 487–513 (1996)

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  3. Dimitras, A.I., Slowinski, R., Susmaga, R., Zopounidis, C.: Business failure prediction using Rough Sets. European Journal of Operational research 114, 263–280 (1999)

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  4. Fernández, C., Menasalvas, E., Pérez, C., Del Saz, R.: Rough Sets as a tool to predict risk in finantial operations. In: Proc. Int. Conf. on Recent Advances in Computer Sciences (RASC 2004), Nottingham (U.K.), pp. 477–482 (2004)

    Google Scholar 

  5. Pawlak, Z.: Rough Sets: Theoretical aspects of reasoning about data. Kluwer academic publishers, Dordrecht (1991)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  6. Slowinski, R.: Rough Sets learning of preferential attitudes in multi-criteria decision making. In: Komorowski, J., Raś, Z.W. (eds.) ISMIS 1993. LNCS, vol. 689, pp. 642–651. Springer, Heidelberg (1993)

    Google Scholar 

  7. Slowinski, R., Zopounidis, C., Dimitras, A.I., Susmaga, R.: Rough Sets predictor of business failure. In: Ribeiro, R.R., Yager, R.R., Zimmermann, H.J., Kacprzyk, J. (eds.) Soft Computing in Financial Engineering, pp. 402–424. Physica, Heidelberg (1999)

    Google Scholar 

  8. Szladow, A., Mills, D.: Tapping financial databases. Business Credit 7 (1993)

    Google Scholar 

  9. Ziarko, W.: Variable precision Rough Sets Model. Journal of Computer & System Sciences 46, 39–49 (1991)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  10. Tay, F.E., Shen, L.: Economic and financial predictions using Rough Sets Model. European Journal of Operational Research 141, 641–659 (2002)

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2005 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this paper

Cite this paper

Eibe, S., Del Saz, R., Fernández, C., Marbán, Ó., Menasalvas, E., Pérez, C. (2005). Financial Risk Prediction Using Rough Sets Tools: A Case Study. In: Ślęzak, D., Yao, J., Peters, J.F., Ziarko, W., Hu, X. (eds) Rough Sets, Fuzzy Sets, Data Mining, and Granular Computing. RSFDGrC 2005. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 3642. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/11548706_52

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/11548706_52

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-540-28660-8

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-540-31824-8

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics