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Improving Population Estimation with Neural Network Models

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Advances in Neural Networks - ISNN 2006 (ISNN 2006)

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNTCS,volume 3973))

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Abstract

Intercensal and postcensal population estimates are essential in federal, state, and local governments planning and resource allocation. Traditionally, linear regression based models are widely used for projecting population distributions in a given region. We constructed population projection models with various types of artificial neural networks. Using historical census data, we tested the performance of the neural network models against the ratio correlation regression model that we have used for the last 20 years. The results indicate that properly trained neural networks outperform the regression model in both model fitting and projection. Among the different neural network models we tested, the fuzzy logic based neural network performed the best.

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Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. College of Administration and Business, Louisiana Tech University, Ruston, LA, 71272, USA

    Zaiyong Tang & Caroline W. Leung

  2. Dept. of Information & Decision Sciences, University of Texas at El Paso, TX, USA

    Kallol Bagchi

Authors
  1. Zaiyong Tang
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  2. Caroline W. Leung
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  3. Kallol Bagchi
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Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Mechanical and Automation Engineering, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, New Territories, Hong Kong, China

    Jun Wang

  2. Computational Intelligence Laboratory, School of Computer Science and Engineering, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, 610054, Chengdu, P.R. China

    Zhang Yi

  3. Department of Electrical Engineering, University of Louisville, 40292, Louisville, KY, U.S.A

    Jacek M. Zurada

  4. Laboratory for Computational Biology, Shanghai Center for Systems Biomedicine, 800 Dong Chuan Rd, 200240, Shanghai, China

    Bao-Liang Lu

  5. School of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, University of Manchester, UK

    Hujun Yin

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© 2006 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

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Tang, Z., Leung, C.W., Bagchi, K. (2006). Improving Population Estimation with Neural Network Models. In: Wang, J., Yi, Z., Zurada, J.M., Lu, BL., Yin, H. (eds) Advances in Neural Networks - ISNN 2006. ISNN 2006. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 3973. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/11760191_172

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/11760191_172

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-540-34482-7

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-540-34483-4

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

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