Abstract
We back-test a pattern-based heuristic from stock market technical analysis on price and volume time series data for Alcoa Aluminum Company’s common stock. Promising results are obtained using a pattern matching approach implemented with spreadsheet technology. Improvement in these results are attained through the application of neural networks and genetic algorithms. Results are confirmed statistically.
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Benjamin Graham and David Dodd, Security Analysis (Classic 1934 Edition), McGraw-Hill, New York, 1997.
Robert Edwards and John Magee, Technical Analysis of Stock Trends, Seventh Edition, Amacom, New York, 1997.
Eugene F. Fama, “Efficient Capital Markets: II”, The Journal of Finance, Volume XLVI no. 5 December 1991, pages 1575–1617.
A. N. Refenes and M. Azema-Barac, “Neural Network Applications in Financial Asset Management”, Journal of Neurocomputing and Applications, vol. 2, no. 1, pp. 13–39, 1994.
Emad W. Saad, Danil V. Prokhorov, and Donald C. Wunsch, “Comparative Study of Stock Trend Prediction Using Time Delay, Recurrent and Probabilistic Neural Networks,” IEEE Transactions on Neural Networks, Vol. 9, no. 6, November 1998, pages 1456–1470.
Tetsuji Tanigawa and Ken’ichi Kamijo, “Stock Price Pattern Matching System — dynamic Programming Neural Network Approach,” Proceedings of the International Joint Conference on Neural Networks, 1992, pages II-465–II-471.
Sholom M. Weiss and Casimir A. Kulikowski, Computer Systems That Learn, Morgan Kaufmann, San Mateo, 1991.
John Downes and Jordan Elliot Goodman, Dictionary of Finance and Investment Terms, fifth edition, Barron’s Educational Series, Inc., 1998.
Vittorio Maniezzo, “Genetic Evolution of the Topology and Weight Distribution of Neural Networks,” IEEE Transactions on Neural Networks, Vol. 5, no. 1, January 1994, pages 39–53.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2000 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
About this paper
Cite this paper
Leigh, W., Odisho, E., Paz, N., Paz, M. (2000). Progress Report: Improving the Stock Price Forecasting Performance of the Bull Flag Heuristic with Genetic Algorithms and Neural Networks. In: Logananthara, R., Palm, G., Ali, M. (eds) Intelligent Problem Solving. Methodologies and Approaches. IEA/AIE 2000. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 1821. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/3-540-45049-1_74
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/3-540-45049-1_74
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-540-67689-8
Online ISBN: 978-3-540-45049-8
eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive