Abstract
As more and more probabilistic networks are being developed for medical applications, the question arises as to their value for clinical practice. Often the clinical value of a network is expressed as the percentage correct of predicted overall outcome, based upon an evaluation study using real-life patient data. In this paper, we propose another method of evaluation that focuses on intermediate outcomes of interest. We illustrate this method for a real-life probabilistic network for the staging of oesophageal cancer and show that it can provide valuable information in addition to a percentage correct.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
F.V. Jensen (1996). An Introduction to Bayesian Networks. UCL Press, London.
L.C. van der Gaag, S. Renooij, C.L.M. Witteman, B.M.P. Aleman, B.G. Taal (2001). Probabilities for a probabilistic network: A case-study in oesophageal carcinoma, submitted for publication.
S. Andreassen, F.V. Jensen, K.G. Olesen (1991). Medical expert systems based on causal probabilistic networks. International Journal on Biomedical Computing, vol. 28, pp. 1–30.
S. Kullback, R.A. Leibler (1951). On information and sufficiency. Annals of Mathematical Statistics, vol. 22, pp. 79–86.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2001 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
About this paper
Cite this paper
van der Gaag, L.C., Renooij, S. (2001). On the Evaluation of Probabilistic Networks. In: Quaglini, S., Barahona, P., Andreassen, S. (eds) Artificial Intelligence in Medicine. AIME 2001. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 2101. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/3-540-48229-6_62
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/3-540-48229-6_62
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-540-42294-5
Online ISBN: 978-3-540-48229-1
eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive