Skip to main content

WMD Hazard Prediction — Blending three AI techniques to produce a superior defence capability

  • Conference paper
Applications and Innovations in Intelligent Systems XI (SGAI 2003)

Abstract

This paper describes the development of a hazard prediction system for Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD) and discusses how three distinct Artificial Intelligence (AI) techniques were found to be necessary to enable operational use of such a system. The three techniques: Bayesian data fusion, Blackboard Architecture and Genetic Algorithm optimisation, are described, along with the novel modifications found necessary for their use in this domain. Furthermore, issues encountered and practical aspects of the development phase are discussed.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 39.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  1. The Strategic Defence Review: A New Chapter, Supporting Information & Analysis, Cm 5566 Vol II. July 2002.

    Google Scholar 

  2. Marrs, A.D. NBC hazard assessment using a graphical modelling approach. DERA/S&P/ SPI/TR980109/1.0. January 1999.

    Google Scholar 

  3. Thomas, P.A., Marrs, A.D. NBC Source Term Prediction — A Probabilistic Approach, Fourth Annual George Mason University Transport and Dispersion Modeling Workshop. June 2000.

    Google Scholar 

  4. Gordon, N.J., Salmond, D.J and Smith, A.F.M. A novel approach to non-linear/non-Gaussian Bayesian state estimation. IEE Proceedings on Radar, Sonar & Navigation, 1993.

    Google Scholar 

  5. Salmond, D.J. Mixture reduction algorithms for target tracking in clutter. Signal & Data Processing of Small Targets, edited by O. Drummond. 1990.

    Google Scholar 

  6. Hall, D.J. et al. The Urban Dispersion Model (UDM) version 2.2 Technical Documentation. DSTL/TR04774. September 2002.

    Google Scholar 

  7. Holland, J.H. Adaptation in natural and artificial systems. Ann Arbor, MI: The University of Michigan Press. 1975.

    Google Scholar 

  8. Thomas, P.A., et al. “What Should I Do?”: Providing decision support in the NCBR environment. The First Joint Conference on Battle Management for Nuclear, Chemical, Biological and Radiological Defense. November 2002.

    Google Scholar 

  9. Whitley, D.A. Genetic Algorithm Tutorial, Fort Collins, Colorado, Statistics and Computing. 1994.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to P. A. Thomas .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2004 Springer-Verlag London Limited

About this paper

Cite this paper

Thomas, P.A., Bull, M., Ravenscroft, G.R. (2004). WMD Hazard Prediction — Blending three AI techniques to produce a superior defence capability. In: Bramer, M., Ellis, R., Macintosh, A. (eds) Applications and Innovations in Intelligent Systems XI. SGAI 2003. Springer, London. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4471-0643-2_9

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4471-0643-2_9

  • Publisher Name: Springer, London

  • Print ISBN: 978-1-85233-779-7

  • Online ISBN: 978-1-4471-0643-2

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

Publish with us

Policies and ethics