Abstract
In predictive process analytics, current and historical process data in event logs are used to predict future. E.g., to predict the next activity or how long a process will still require to complete. Recurrent neural networks (RNN) and its subclasses have been demonstrated to be well suited for creating prediction models. Thus far, event attributes have not been fully utilized in these models. The biggest challenge in exploiting them in prediction models is the potentially large amount of event attributes and attribute values. We present a novel clustering technique which allows for trade-offs between prediction accuracy and the time needed for model training and prediction. As an additional finding, we also find that this clustering method combined with having raw event attribute values in some cases provides even better prediction accuracy at the cost of additional time required for training and prediction.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Cho, K., van Merrienboer, B., Bahdanau, D., Bengio, Y.: On the properties of neural machine translation: encoder-decoder approaches. In: Wu, D., Carpuat, M., Carreras, X., Vecchi, E.M. (eds.) Proceedings of SSST@EMNLP 2014, Eighth Workshop on Syntax, Semantics and Structure in Statistical Translation, Doha, Qatar, 25 October 2014, pp. 103–111. Association for Computational Linguistics (2014)
Evermann, J., Rehse, J., Fettke, P.: Predicting process behaviour using deep learning. Decis. Support Syst. 100, 129–140 (2017)
Francescomarino, C.D., Dumas, M., Maggi, F.M., Teinemaa, I.: Clustering-based predictive process monitoring. CoRR, abs/1506.01428 (2015)
Francescomarino, C.D., Ghidini, C., Maggi, F.M., Milani, F.: Predictive process monitoring methods: which one suits me best? In: Weske, et al. [15], pp. 462–479
Hinkka, M., Lehto, T., Heljanko, K., Jung, A.: Structural feature selection for event logs. In: Teniente, E., Weidlich, M. (eds.) BPM 2017. LNBIP, vol. 308, pp. 20–35. Springer, Cham (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-74030-0_2
Hinkka, M., Lehto, T., Heljanko, K., Jung, A.: Classifying process instances using recurrent neural networks. In: Daniel, F., Sheng, Q.Z., Motahari, H. (eds.) BPM 2018. LNBIP, vol. 342, pp. 313–324. Springer, Cham (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-11641-5_25
Kingma, D.P., Ba, J.: Adam: a method for stochastic optimization. CoRR, abs/1412.6980 (2014)
Navarin, N., Vincenzi, B., Polato, M., Sperduti, A.: LSTM networks for data-aware remaining time prediction of business process instances. In: 2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2017, Honolulu, HI, USA, 27 November–1 December 2017, pp. 1–7. IEEE (2017)
Nolle, T., Seeliger, A., Mühlhäuser, M.: BINet: multivariate business process anomaly detection using deep learning. In: Weske, et al. [15], pp. 271–287
Pelleg, D., Moore, A.W.: X-means: extending k-means with efficient estimation of the number of clusters. In: Langley, P. (ed.) Proceedings of the Seventeenth International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML 2000), Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA, 29 June–2 July 2000, pp. 727–734. Morgan Kaufmann (2000)
Schönig, S., Jasinski, R., Ackermann, L., Jablonski, S.: Deep learning process prediction with discrete and continuous data features. In: Damiani, E., Spanoudakis, G., Maciaszek, L.A. (eds.) Proceedings of the 13th International Conference on Evaluation of Novel Approaches to Software Engineering, ENASE 2018, Funchal, Madeira, Portugal, 23–24 March 2018, pp. 314–319. SciTePress (2018)
Tax, N., Teinemaa, I., van Zelst, S.J.: An interdisciplinary comparison of sequence modeling methods for next-element prediction. CoRR, abs/1811.00062 (2018)
Tax, N., Verenich, I., La Rosa, M., Dumas, M.: Predictive business process monitoring with LSTM neural networks. In: Dubois, E., Pohl, K. (eds.) CAiSE 2017. LNCS, vol. 10253, pp. 477–492. Springer, Cham (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-59536-8_30
Verenich, I., Dumas, M., Rosa, M.L., Maggi, F.M., Chasovskyi, D., Rozumnyi, A.: Tell me what’s ahead? Predicting remaining activity sequences of business process instances, June 2016
Weske, M., Montali, M., Weber, I., vom Brocke, J. (eds.): BPM 2018. LNCS, vol. 11080. Springer, Cham (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-98648-7
Acknowledgments
We want to thank QPR Software Plc for funding our research. Financial support of Academy of Finland project 313469 is acknowledged.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2019 Springer Nature Switzerland AG
About this paper
Cite this paper
Hinkka, M., Lehto, T., Heljanko, K. (2019). Exploiting Event Log Event Attributes in RNN Based Prediction. In: Welzer, T., et al. New Trends in Databases and Information Systems. ADBIS 2019. Communications in Computer and Information Science, vol 1064. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-30278-8_40
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-30278-8_40
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-030-30277-1
Online ISBN: 978-3-030-30278-8
eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)