Abstract
This paper develops an international freight transport model for predicting the importers’ behavior in the port/path-choice decisions after the Panama Canal expansion. A real-data case study for Colombian ports was developed assuming that the expansion will reduce the time to cross the canal. Two infrastructure investment projects of the Colombian government were evaluated as likely scenarios. Results show the adequacy of the model for its predictive purpose and its usability to carry sensitivity analyses of scenarios. The overriding outcome is that the model could guide governmental decisions on the infrastructures domain by demonstrating their effect in the logistic realm.
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Acknowledgments
This article is the result of the research project titled “Diamante Caribe y Santanderes, Análisis de los factores clave de competitividad para la construcción de un modelo de territorio Inteligente en la región Caribe y Santanderes, Colombia” (Diamante Caribe y Santanderes, Analysis of the competitiveness key factors for the development of a smart territory in the Caribbean and Santanderes region), supported by the Fund for Science, Technology and Innovation of the General System of Royalties (Departments of the Colombian Caribbean and Santanderes Region).
Project number: 2014000100012. Contract number: 25 of May 30th, 2014.
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Gomez-Jacome, N., Garcia-Llinas, G., Paternina-Arboleda, C.D., Jaller-Martelo, M. (2019). Caribbean Ports, Inland Logistics, and the Panama Canal Expansion: A Mode and Port Choice Analysis. In: Paternina-Arboleda, C., Voß, S. (eds) Computational Logistics. ICCL 2019. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 11756. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-31140-7_10
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