Abstract
The prediction of vessel maritime navigation has become an interesting topic in the last years, especially in areas of economical commercial exchange and security. Also, vessels monitoring requires better systems and techniques that help enterprises and governments to protect their interests. In specific, the prediction of vessels movements is important concerning safety and tracking. However, the applications of prediction techniques have a high cost of computational efficiency and low resource-saving. This article presents a sample method to select historical data on ship-specific routes to optimize the computational performance of the prediction of ship positions and route estimation in real-time. These historical navigation data can help us to estimate a complete path and perform vessel positions predictions through time. This method works in a vessel tracking system in order to save computational work when predictions or route estimations are in execution. The results obtained after testing the method are almost acceptable concerning route estimation with a precision of 74.98%, and with vessel positions predictions through time a 79% of accuracy.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
Alessandrini, A., et al.: Mining vessel tracking data for maritime domain applications (2016). https://doi.org/10.1109/ICDMW.2016.20
ANAVE: Merchant marine and maritime transport 2017/2018 (2018)
Azur, M.J., Stuart, E.A., Frangakis, C., Leaf, P.J.: Multiple imputation by chained equations: what is it and how does it work? Int. J. Methods Psychiatr. Res. (2011). https://doi.org/10.1002/mpr.329
Chollet, F.: Keras Documentation. Keras.Io (2015)
Deng, F., Guo, S., Deng, Y., Chu, H., Zhu, Q., Sun, F.: Vessel track information mining using AIS data (2013)
Ester, M., Kriegel, H.-P., Sander, J., Xu, X.: A density-based algorithm for discovering clusters a density-based algorithm for discovering clusters in large spatial databases with noise. In: Proceedings of the Second International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining, no. 6, pp. 226–231. (1996). http://dl.acm.org/citation.cfm?id=3001460.3001507
Gers, F.A., Schmidhuber, J., Cummins, F.:Learning to forget: Continual prediction with LSTM. Neural Comput. (2000). arXiv:1011.1669v3, https://doi.org/10.1162/089976600300015015. ISBN: 0 85296 721 7, ISSN: 08997667
Hochreiter, S., Schmidhuber, J.: Long short-term memory. Neural Comput. (1997). https://doi.org/10.1162/neco.1997.9.8.1735
Liu, H., Setiono, R.: Chi2: feature selection and discretization of numeric attributes. In: Proceedings of the International Conference on Tools with Artificial Intelligence (1995)
Mazzarella, F., Arguedas, V.F., Vespe, M.: Knowledge-based vessel position prediction using historical AIS data. In: 2015 Workshop on Sensor Data Fusion: Trends, Solutions, Applications, SDF 2015 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1109/SDF.2015.7347707
Pallotta, G., Vespe, M., Bryan, K.: Vessel pattern knowledge discovery from AIS data: a framework for anomaly detection and route prediction. Entropy (2013). https://doi.org/10.3390/e15062218
Peck, R., Devore, J.L.: Statistics: The Exploration & Analysis of Data. Cengage Learning, Boston (2011). https://books.google.com.mx/books?id=NsAh3P-WrswC
Perera, L.P., Oliveira, P., Soares, C.G.: Maritime traffic monitoring based on vessel detection, tracking, state estimation, and trajectory prediction. IEEE Trans. Intell. Transp. Syst. (2012). https://doi.org/10.1109/TITS.2012.2187282
White, I.R., Royston, P., Wood, A.M.: Multiple imputation using chained equations: issues and guidance for practice. Stat. Med. (2011). https://doi.org/10.1002/sim.4067
Williams, R.J., Zipser, D.: A learning algorithm for continually running fully recurrent neural networks. Neural Comput. (1989). https://doi.org/10.1162/neco.1989.1.2.270
Zissis, D., Xidias, E.K., Lekkas, D.: Real-time vessel behavior prediction. Evolving Syst. (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12530-015-9133-5
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Ethics declarations
The authors declare that they have no conflicts of interest.
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2019 Springer Nature Switzerland AG
About this paper
Cite this paper
Bautista-Sánchez, R., Barbosa-Santillán, L.I., Sánchez-Escobar, J.J. (2019). Statistical Approach in Data Filtering for Prediction Vessel Movements Through Time and Estimation Route Using Historical AIS Data. In: Martínez-Villaseñor, L., Batyrshin, I., Marín-Hernández, A. (eds) Advances in Soft Computing. MICAI 2019. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 11835. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-33749-0_3
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-33749-0_3
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-030-33748-3
Online ISBN: 978-3-030-33749-0
eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)