Skip to main content

Neural Network Model with Time Series for the Prediction of the Electric Field in the East Lima Zone, Peru

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:
Artificial Intelligence and Bioinspired Computational Methods (CSOC 2020)

Abstract

Global warming and climate change is a latent problem nowadays because it affects the quality of life of living beings that inhabit an electric planet; therefore, the atmosphere is charged with ions that constantly interact and achieve a continuous balance. Likewise, when the determined value of the electric field is exceeded in one location, this produces an electric discharge, which varies with the time of the day, month and seasons.

The variation of the electric field in the troposphere of the campus of the Universidad Peruana Unión, located in the area of East Lima, Peru, has been evaluated using a EFM-100 Sensor equipment which measures the electric field during the seasons of the year, and this study aims to predict the future measurements using artificial intelligence. The area of East Lima was mapped and the EFM-100 sensor was set for its exact location and to report outputs of the electric field within a radius of 37 km.

A neural network model was found that was supported by the descending gradient algorithm and the Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm of the MatLab libraries in the 2018 version. The neural network model had a mean square error (MSE) of 0.476184, the validation was 0.558515 and the testing was 0.464005. Finally, an electric field of 0.1682 v/m was obtained in the summer season, −0.66 v/m in autumn, −1.62 v/m in winter and −1.43 v/m in spring.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 129.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  • Aggarwal, C.C.: Neural networks and deep learning. In: Neural Networks and Deep Learning, Yorktown Heights, NY, USA. Springer, Netherlands (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-94463-0

  • Bassis, S., Esposito, A., Morabito, F.C., Eros, M., Pasero, E.: Smart innovation, systems and technologies. In: Advances in Neural Networks Computational Intelligence for ICT, vol. 54, Canberra, Australia (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-33747-0

  • Bohari, Z.H., Sulaima, M.F., Nasir, M.N., Bukhari, W.M., Jali, M.H., Baharom, M.F.: Int. J. Eng. Sci. (IJES) 3(6), 59–67 (2014). www.theijes.com

  • Boltek, N.: EFM-100 Atmospheric Electric Field Monitor Guide. Canada (2014). www.boltek.com

  • Boltek Corporation. Lightning Detection EFM-100 Atmospheric Electric Field Monitor Installation/Operators Guide EFM-100 Atmospheric Electric Field Monitor. Changes (2015)

    Google Scholar 

  • Cruz, V.M.: Health risk to non-ionizing radiation by the electricity networks in Peru. Revista Peruana de Medicina Experimental Y Salud Publica. Lima-Perú (2009). https://doi.org/10.17843/rpmesp.2009.261.1341

  • Martín del Brío, B., Sanz Molina, A.: Redes Neuronales y Sistemas Difusos (Segunda). Alfaomega RaMa (2002). México file:///C:/Users/JUAN SORIA Q/Downloads/Redes_Neuronales_y_Sistemas_Difusos.pdf

    Google Scholar 

  • Harrison, R.G.: The Global Atmospheric Electrical Circuit and Climate. Surveys in Geophysics. Department of Meteorology, The University of Reading, United Kingdom (2004). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10712-004-5439-8

  • Hudson, M., Martin, B., Hagan, T., Demuth, H.B.: Deep Learning ToolboxTM User’s Guide (1992). www.mathworks.com

  • Jánský, J., Pasko, V.P.: Effects of conductivity perturbations in time-dependent global electric circuit model. J. Geophys. Res. Space Phys. 120(12), 10654–10668 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JA021604

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Martinez-Lozano, M., De, U., Bajío, L.S.: Sizing Optimization of PV Systems Under Commercial Electricity Tariffs Schemes in Mexico View project Effect of Seasonal Variations on the Performance of Distribution Lines View Project (2014). https://doi.org/10.13140/2.1.3635.2323

  • Mathworks, C.: Deep Learning Toolbox TM Release Notes, vol. 172 (2005). www.mathworks.com

  • Nicoll, K.A., Harrison, R.G., Barta, V., Bor, J., Brugge, R., Chillingarian, A., Chum, A., Georgoulias, J., Guha, A., Kourtidis, K., Kubicki, M., Yaniv, R.: A global atmospheric electricity monitoring network for climate and geophysical research. J. Atmosph. Solar Terr. Phys. 184, 18–29 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jastp.2019.01.003

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Nunes Silva, I., Hernane Spatti, D., Andrade Flauzino, R., Liboni, L.H.B., dos Reis Alves, S.F.: Artificial Neural Networks: A Practical Course. São Paulo, Brazil (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-43162-8

  • Roble, R.G., Tzur, I.: The Earth’s Electrical Environment. The Earth’s Electrical Environment (Primera). National Academies Press, USA (1986). https://doi.org/10.17226/898

  • Saboya, N., Loaiza, O.L., Soria, J.J., Bustamante, J.: Fuzzy logic model for the selection of applicants to university study programs according to enrollment profile. In: Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing, vol. 850, pp. 121–133. Springer, Cham (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-02351-5_16

  • Siingh, D., Gopalakrishnan, V., Singh, R.P., Kamra, A.K., Singh, S., Pant, V., Singh, R., Singh, A.K.: The atmospheric global electric circuit: an overview. Atmosph. Res. 84(2), 91–110 (2007). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2006.05.005

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Silva, H.G., Conceição, R., Melgão, M., Nicoll, K., Mendes, P.B., Tlemçani, M., Reis, A.H., Harrison, R.G.: Atmospheric electric field measurements in urban environment and the pollutant aerosol weekly dependence. Environ. Res. Lett. 9(11) (2014). https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/9/11/114025

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Juan J. Soria .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2020 Springer Nature Switzerland AG

About this paper

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this paper

Soria, J.J., Sumire, D.A., Poma, O., Saavedra, C.E. (2020). Neural Network Model with Time Series for the Prediction of the Electric Field in the East Lima Zone, Peru. In: Silhavy, R. (eds) Artificial Intelligence and Bioinspired Computational Methods. CSOC 2020. Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing, vol 1225. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-51971-1_33

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics