Skip to main content

Modeling Decisions from Experience Among Frequent and Infrequent Switchers via Strategy-Based and Instance-Based Models

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:
Social, Cultural, and Behavioral Modeling (SBP-BRiMS 2020)

Abstract

In Decisions from Experience (DFE) research decision-makers search for information before making a final consequential choice in the sampling paradigm. Although DFE research involving the sampling paradigm has focused on accounting for information search and final choices using computational cognitive models. However, it remains to be seen how models implementing strategies (strategy-based models) and models relying upon memory retrievals (instance-based models) perform for final choices of participants with different switching behaviors. In this paper, we perform an individual-differences analysis and test the ability of strategy-based and instance-based models to explain final choices of participants with different switching behavior in the sampling paradigm. An instance-based model, which relies on recency and frequency memory processes, is calibrated to final choices of participants exhibiting frequent switching or infrequent switching between options. Also, we develop two strategy models: a summary strategy model and a round-wise strategy model. Both these models rely upon different switching behaviors and subsequent decision rules to derive choices. Results revealed that at the aggregate level, both the strategy-based and instance-based models explained consequential choices similarly when participants exhibited frequent switching. However, the instance-based model performed better than the strategy-based models when participants exhibited infrequent switching. Furthermore, at the individual level, the instance-based model was among the best models to fit to both frequent and infrequent groups. We highlight the implications of modeling experiential decisions using strategy-based and Instance-based models.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 39.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  1. Julian, W.: The 7 things students think about when choosing a college. https://www.chronicle.com/article/The-7-Things-Students-Think/242544. Accessed 27 Feb 2020

  2. Hertwig, R., Erev, I.: The description-experience gap in risky choice. Trends Cogn. Sci. 13, 517–523 (2009)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. Sharma, N., Debnath, S., Dutt, V.: Influence of an intermediate option on the description experience gap and information search. Front. Psychol. 9, 364 (2018)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. Hills, T., Hertwig, R.: Information search in decisions from experience: do our patterns of sampling foreshadow our decisions? Psychol. Sci. 21(12), 1787–1792 (2010)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. Erev, I., Ert, E., Roth, A.E., Haruvy, E., Herzog, S.M., Hau, R.: A choice prediction competition: choices from experience and from description. J. Behav. Decis. Making 23(1), 15–47 (2010)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Lejarraga, T., Dutt, V., Gonzalez, C.: Instance-based learning: a general model of repeated binary choice. J. Behav. Decis. Making 25(2), 143–153 (2012)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Gonzalez, C., Dutt, V.: Instance-based learning: integrating sampling and repeated decisions from experience. Psychol. Rev. 118(4), 523 (2011)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Gonzalez, C., Dutt, V.: Refuting data aggregation arguments and how the instance-based learning model stands criticism: a reply to Hills and Hertwig (2012). Psychol. Rev. 119(4), 893–898 (2012)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Hills, T.T., Hertwig, R.: Information search in decisions from experience: Do our patterns of sampling foreshadow our decisions? Psychol. Sci. 21(12), 1787–1792 (2017)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. Gonzalez, C., Lerch, J.F., Lebiere, C.: Instance-based learning in dynamic decision making. Cogn. Sci. 27(4), 591–635 (2003)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. Sharma, N., Dutt, V.: Modeling decisions from experience: how models with a single set of parameters for aggregate choices explain individual choices? J. Dyn. Decis. Making 3(3), 1–20 (2017)

    Google Scholar 

  12. Anderson, J.R., Lebiere, C.: The Atomic Components of Thought Lawrence Erlbaum. Mathway, New Jersey (1998)

    Google Scholar 

  13. Hertwig, R.: The psychology and rationality of decisions from experience. Synthese 187(1), 269–292 (2012). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11229-011-0024-4

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  14. Gonzalez, C., Dutt, V., Healy, A.F., Young, M.D., Bourne, L.E., Jr.: Comparison of instance and strategy models in ACT-R. In: Proceedings of the 9th International Conference of Cognitive Modeling (paper 150), Manchester, United Kingdom (2009)

    Google Scholar 

  15. Hertwig, R., Barron, G., Weber, E.U., Erev, I.: Decisions from experience and the effect of rare events in risky choice. Psychol. Sci. 15(8), 534–539 (2004)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  16. Bishop, C.M.: Pattern Recognition and Machine Learning. Springer, New York (2006)

    Google Scholar 

  17. Sutton, R.S., Barto, A.G.: Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction. MIT press, Cambridge (1998)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  18. Lebiere, C.: Blending: an ACT-R mechanism for aggregate retrievals. In: Proceedings of the Sixth Annual ACTR Workshop, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA, USA (1999)

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Neha Sharma .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2020 Springer Nature Switzerland AG

About this paper

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this paper

Sharma, N., Dutt, V. (2020). Modeling Decisions from Experience Among Frequent and Infrequent Switchers via Strategy-Based and Instance-Based Models. In: Thomson, R., Bisgin, H., Dancy, C., Hyder, A., Hussain, M. (eds) Social, Cultural, and Behavioral Modeling. SBP-BRiMS 2020. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 12268. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-61255-9_33

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-61255-9_33

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-030-61254-2

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-030-61255-9

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics