Skip to main content

Risk Analysis in Online Peer-to-Peer Loaning Based on Machine Learning: A Decision Tree Implementation on PPDai.com

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:
The 2020 International Conference on Machine Learning and Big Data Analytics for IoT Security and Privacy (SPIOT 2020)

Part of the book series: Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing ((AISC,volume 1282))

  • 1083 Accesses

Abstract

With the developing network technologies and the formation of complete mobile payment systems, the world is witnessing a growing trend of P2P lending. This research paper analyzes the data from a Chinese P2P lending platform PPDai. Also, the research utilizes the Decision Tree algorithm based on attributes related to customers’ loan features, verification statuses and loan history to predict and determine whether a customer could fulfill his/her repayment on time. Hence, P2P lending platforms could have predictions for future customers concerning whether they are potentially failing to pay back money timely. In this way, P2P lending platforms can prevent some potential losses and discouragements from the less trusted customers. Experimental results from the Decision Tree algorithm demonstrate that: the verification processes play a significant role in identifying customers as trusted or not. Moreover, the results propose some broader implications for the healthy development of the online P2P industry for both borrowers and lenders.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 169.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 219.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  1. Deng, C.: A comparative research on online peer-to-peer lending risk analysis models: an analysis of prosper and PPDai.com (title translated by the author of this paper). China J. Commer. 24, 63–66 (2019)

    Google Scholar 

  2. Feng, Y., Fan, X., Yoon, Y.: Lenders and borrowers’ strategies in online peer-to-peer lending market: an empirical analysis of PPDai.com. J. Electron. Commer. Res. 16, 242–260 (2015)

    Google Scholar 

  3. Greiner, M.E., Wang, H.: Building consumer-to-consumer trust in e-finance marketplaces: an empirical analysis. Int. J. Electron. Commer. 15(2), 105–136 (2010)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. Guo, Y., Zhou, W., Luo, C., Liu, C., Xiong, H.: Instance-based credit risk assessment for investment decisions in P2P lending. Eur. J. Oper. Res. 249, 417–426 (2015)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  5. Ha, S., Ld, N., Choi, G., Nguyen, H.-N., Yoon, B.: Improving credit risk prediction in online peer-to-peer (P2P) lending using feature selection with deep learning. In: 21st International Conference on Advanced Communication Technology (ICACT), pp. 511–515 (2019)

    Google Scholar 

  6. Jiang, X., Zhang, Q., Cheng, J.: Research on credit risk identification of peer-to-peer lending market. China Bus. Market. 34(04), 67–75 (2020)

    Google Scholar 

  7. Vinod, L., Subramanyam, N., Keerthana, S., Chinmayi, M., Lakshmi, N.: Credit risk analysis in peer-to-peer lending system. In: 2016 IEEE International Conference on Knowledge Engineering and Applications (ICKEA), pp. 193–194 (2016)

    Google Scholar 

  8. Sun, J.: The analysis of profit model of online loaning platforms. Modern Bus. 34, 117–118 (2019)

    Google Scholar 

  9. Zhu, J., Ghosh, S., Wu, W.: Group influence maximization problem in social networks. IEEE Trans. Comput. Soc. Syst. 6(6), 1156–1164 (2019)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. Liu, L., Zhao, J.: Research on the effects of borrowers’ active uploading photos in online peer-to-peer lending market. China Price 3, 108–113 (2020)

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Chengxun Wu .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2021 The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG

About this paper

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this paper

Wu, C. (2021). Risk Analysis in Online Peer-to-Peer Loaning Based on Machine Learning: A Decision Tree Implementation on PPDai.com. In: MacIntyre, J., Zhao, J., Ma, X. (eds) The 2020 International Conference on Machine Learning and Big Data Analytics for IoT Security and Privacy. SPIOT 2020. Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing, vol 1282. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-62743-0_25

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics