Abstract
Vehicle mobility in urban traffic systems is complex, partly because it reflects mobility of a human who drives a vehicle, and partly because it depends on many roles which the vehicle plays. Previous studies on human mobility revealed that it includes Lévy-flights-like motions and memoryless deterministic walks as well as random walks, but the mobility of vehicles may be more biased due to their functions. Focusing our research target on a sightseeing vehicle with sufficiently limited functions, we show a method to measure regularity of visitation patterns, quantified by order(s) of Markov chains in their mobility. Graphs of higher-order Markov chains, which are representatives of mobility in a network style, possess statistical properties; in our observation dataset, they include degree distributions similar to scale-free networks. The detection of mobility in real social experiments, which is also assumed on these graphs, yields the order of Markov chains inside it with its comparison with the results of agent-based simulations. Centrality indices of the mobility networks well coincide with prediction of these analytical and numerical results.
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Acknowledgements
All the authors thanks the members of the GAT Hikone Association for their useful comments on this study, and also the Hikone-Kirakusha Association for their corporation during the device’s installation on the rickshaws. All the authors also thank K. Enomoto, S. Matsuyama and J. Yoshida at the University of Shiga Prefecture and D. Minami and S. Minami at Eagle Electronics Corporation for their useful comments. This work is partially supported by Regional ICT Research Center of Human, Industry and Future at The University of Shiga Prefecture, and by Cabinet Office, Government of Japan.
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Yamamoto, K., Miyagi, S., Sakai, O. (2021). Order Estimation of Markov-Chain Processes in Complex Mobility Network Embedded in Vehicle Traces. In: Benito, R.M., Cherifi, C., Cherifi, H., Moro, E., Rocha, L.M., Sales-Pardo, M. (eds) Complex Networks & Their Applications IX. COMPLEX NETWORKS 2020 2020. Studies in Computational Intelligence, vol 944. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-65351-4_19
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