Abstract
VUCA is an acronym that stands for Volatility, Uncertainty, Complexity and Ambiguity. This VUCA classification encourages creating new strategize ac-cording to unknown situations, rather than copying traditional patterns from good practices. Firstly, in order to respond to rapid changes, it is necessary for everyone to make quick decisions. To do that, a vision is required in terms of environmental volatility. Secondly, since success means continuing until achieved, which means being sustainable. Therefore, to stay successful, choose affordable losses within tolerance, rather than maximizing profits. Modeling simplifies complex phenomena. It is possible to understand complicated phenomena as they are. Lastly, if the object is not visible, it is possible that an obstacle is blocking your view. Switching perspectives, looking for the object from a different view-point may works. After analyzing the situation, design thinking is effective at the stage of creating a concrete solution. And in the current complex societies, causal loop diagram is a particularly effective method to explore a vision for sustainable business ecosystems.
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The author would like to acknowledge the contribution of Associate Professor Keiichi Yamamoto, Manabu Mizobuchi, Ippei Akiya and other PR team members of Japan CDISC User Group.
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Nishimoto, H. (2021). Scenario Planning in Healthcare Development in the VUCA World. In: Duffy, V.G. (eds) Digital Human Modeling and Applications in Health, Safety, Ergonomics and Risk Management. AI, Product and Service. HCII 2021. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 12778. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-77820-0_9
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-77820-0_9
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