Skip to main content

Developing Prediction Models for Large for Gestational Age Infants Using Ethnically Diverse Data

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:
Advances in Computational Intelligence Systems (UKCI 2021)

Part of the book series: Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing ((AISC,volume 1409))

Included in the following conference series:

  • 738 Accesses

Abstract

Large-for-gestational-age (LGA), defined as foetal weight above the 90th percentile, is an adverse pregnancy outcome associated with increased delivery complications such as shoulder dystocia and caesarean deliveries. Standard prediction methods have been reported to be generally poor predictors of LGA. This study uses ethnically diverse data from the Born In Bradford dataset to predict LGA using machine learning algorithms. Data from 13,194 pregnant women with singleton infants was used, 43% of which were South Asian women and 35% White women. Within this dataset, 5% of the infants born to South Asian women were LGA compared to 11% of infants born to White women. Models built with resampled White and South Asian data had improved sensitivity (19–92%), and low precision (7–28%). Therefore, additional class balancing techniques are required to achieve more precise prediction models.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 189.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 249.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  1. Júnior, E.A., et al.: Macrosomia. Best Pract. Res. Clin. Obstet. Gynaecol. 38, 83–96 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bpobgyn.2016.08.003

    Article  Google Scholar 

  2. Aye, S.S., Miller, V., Saxena, S, Farhan, D.M.: Review management of large-for-gestational-age pregnancy in non-diabetic women key content: learning objectives: ethical issues. Obstet. Gynaecol. 12, 250–256 (2010). https://doi.org/10.1576/toag.12.4.250.27617

  3. Boulet, S.L., et al.: Macrosomic births in the United States: determinants, outcomes, and proposed grades of risk. Am. J. Obstet. Gynecol. 188(5), 1372–1378 (2003). https://doi.org/10.1067/mob.2003.302

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. Asplund, C.A., et al.: Percentage change in antenatal body mass index as a predictor of neonatal macrosomia. Ann. Family Med. 6(6), 550–554 (2008). https://doi.org/10.1370/afm.903

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. Boulvain, M., et al.: Induction of labour versus expectant management for large-for-date fetuses: a randomised controlled trial. Lancet 385(9987), 2600–2605 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(14)61904-8

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Coomarasamy, A., et al.: Accuracy of ultrasound biometry in the prediction of macrosomia: a systematic quantitative review. BJOG Int. J. Obstet. Gynaecol. 112(11), 1461–1466 (2005). https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1471-0528.2005.00702.x

  7. Hanif, W., Susarla, R.: Diabetes and cardiovascular risk in UK South Asians - an overview. Br. J. Cardiol. (2018). https://doi.org/10.5837/bjc.2018.s08

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. West, J., et al.: UK-born Pakistani-origin infants are relatively more adipose than white British infants: Findings from 8704 mother-offspring pairs in the Born-In-Bradford prospective birth cohort. J. Epidemiol. Community Health 67(7), 544–551 (2013). https://doi.org/10.1136/jech-2012-201891

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Kuhle, S., et al.: Comparison of logistic regression with machine learning methods for the prediction of fetal growth abnormalities: a retrospective cohort study. BMC Pregnancy Childbirth 18(1), 1–9 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1186/s12884-018-1971-2

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. Shigemi, D., et al.: Predictive model for macrosomia using maternal parameters without sonography information. J. Maternal-Fetal Neonatal Med. 32(22) 3859–3863. Taylor & Francis (2019). https://doi.org/10.1080/14767058.2018.1484090

  11. Ye, S., et al.: Ensemble learning to improve the prediction of fetal macrosomia and large-for-gestational age. J. Clin. Med. 9(2), 380 (2020). https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm9020380

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. Akhtar, F., Li, J., Pei, Y., et al.: Diagnosis and prediction of large-for-gestational-age fetus using the stacked generalization method. Appl. Sci. (Switz.) 9(20), 1–18 (2019). https://doi.org/10.3390/app9204317

    Article  Google Scholar 

  13. Akhtar, F., Li, J., Guan, Y., et al.: Monitoring bio-chemical indicators using machine learning techniques for an effective large for gestational age prediction model with reduced computational overhead. In: Hung, J., Yen, N., Hui, L. (eds.) Frontier Computing. FC 2018. Lecture Notes in Electrical Engineering, vol. 542. Springer, Singapore (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-13-3648-5_15

  14. Akhtar, F., et al.: Effective large for gestational age prediction using machine learning techniques with monitoring biochemical indicators. J. Supercomput. 76(8), 6219–6237 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11227-018-02738-w

    Article  Google Scholar 

  15. Wright, J., et al.: Cohort profile: the Born In Bradford multi-ethnic family cohort study. Int. J. Epidemiol. 42(4), 978–991 (2013). https://doi.org/10.1093/ije/dys112

    Article  Google Scholar 

  16. Raynor, P., et al.: Born In Bradford, a cohort study of babies Born In Bradford, and their parents: protocol for the recruitment phase. BMC Public Health 8, 1–13 (2008). https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-8-327

    Article  Google Scholar 

  17. Beretta, L., Santaniello, A.: Nearest neighbor imputation algorithms: a critical evaluation. BMC Med. Inform. Decis. Mak. 16(Suppl 3) (2016). https://doi.org/10.1186/s12911-016-0318-z

  18. Nnamoko, N., Korkontzelos, I.: Efficient treatment of outliers and class imbalance for diabetes prediction. Artif. Intell. Med. 104(February), 101815 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.artmed.2020.101815

    Article  Google Scholar 

  19. Blagus, R., Lusa, L.: Joint use of over-and under-sampling techniques and cross-validation for the development and assessment of prediction models. BMC Bioinform. 16(1), 1–10(2015). https://doi.org/10.1186/s12859-015-0784-9

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Sumaia Sabouni .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2022 The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG

About this paper

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this paper

Sabouni, S., Qahwaji, R., Poterlowicz, K., Graham, A.M. (2022). Developing Prediction Models for Large for Gestational Age Infants Using Ethnically Diverse Data. In: Jansen, T., Jensen, R., Mac Parthaláin, N., Lin, CM. (eds) Advances in Computational Intelligence Systems. UKCI 2021. Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing, vol 1409. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-87094-2_39

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics