Skip to main content

Interdependence and Vulnerability in Systems: A Review of Theory for Autonomous Human-Machine Teams

  • Chapter
  • First Online:
Engineering Artificially Intelligent Systems

Abstract

Interdependence exists in all social interactions as constructive or destructive interference. States of interdependence transmit both positive (constructive) and negative (destructive) effects in the interaction. In this chapter, we review the theory of interdependence, and its effects when positive (e.g., innovations, marriages, mergers) or negative (e.g., patent failures, divorces, bankruptcies). We apply the theory to human-machine teams to predict the best and worst teams. And with the theory of interdependence, we review our newest discovery of vulnerability in an opposing team or in our own team. We consider vulnerability to be a fundamental principle of organization in preparation for a competition, during a competition, or in the post-hoc reviews of a competition between teams or organizations. One of the new issues for this chapter is to apply interdependence theory to whether or not convergence has a positive or negative effect in a competition, as with models for system dynamics. We conclude that if a model, concept or leader of a team addresses only a team’s convergence effects, the team will itself be left vulnerable to its opponent and ignorant of the vulnerabilities in its opponent.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 69.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  1. Johnson, J.: Artificial intelligence, autonomy, and the risk of catalytic nuclear war, modern war institute (2021). https://mwi.usma.edu/artificial-intelligence-autonomy-and-the-risk-of-catalytic-nuclear-war/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=artificial-intelligence-autonomy-and-the-risk-of-catalytic-nuclear-war.Accessed 31 Mar 2021

  2. Trevithick, J., Rogoway, T.: Russia confirms Syria attack but denies seven aircraft got destroyed as photos emerge. key questions about the incident are still unanswered and no group has claimed responsibility, the war zone, the drive (2021). https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/17365/russia-confirms-syria-attack-but-denies-seven-aircraft-got-destroyed-as-photos-emerge.Accessed 31 3 2021

  3. Cummings, J.: team science successes and challenges. National science foundation sponsored workshop on fundamentals of team science and the science of team science (June 2), Bethesda MD (2015). https://www.ohsu.edu/xd/education/schools/school-of-medicine/departments/clinical-departments/radiation-medicine/upload/12-_cummings_talk.pdf

  4. Bisbey, T.M., Reyes, D.L., Traylor, A.M., Salas, E.: Teams of psychologists helping teams: the evolution of the science of team training. Am. Psychol. 74(3), 278–289 (2019)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. Lawless, W.F.: (2019b), The Interdependence of autonomous human-machine teams: the entropy of teams, but not individuals, advances science. Entropy 21(12), 1195 (2019). https://doi.org/10.3390/e21121195

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Darwin, C.: The Descent of Man, and Selection in Relationship to Sex. Appleton, New York (1973)

    Google Scholar 

  7. Hare, B., Woods, V.: Survival of the Friendliest. Understanding our origins and rediscovering our common humanity. Penguin Random House (2020)

    Google Scholar 

  8. Lawless, W.F., Mittu, R., Sofge, D.A., Hiatt, L.: Editorial (Introduction to the Special Issue), Artificial intelligence (AI), autonomy and human-machine teams: Interdependence, context and explainable AI. AI Magazine 40(3), 5–13 (2019)

    Google Scholar 

  9. Mann, R.P.: Collective decision making by rational individuals. PNAS, 115(44): E10387-E10396 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1811964115

  10. Allaby, M.: A Dictionary of Zooology (3rd Ed.). Oxford University Press (2009). https://doi.org/10.1093/acref/9780199233410.001.0001

  11. APA: Social reality. American Psychological Association (2020). Accessed 4 Apr 2020 https://dictionary.apa.org/social-reality

  12. Lawless, W.F.: The entangled nature of interdependence. Bistability, irreproducibility and uncertainty. J. Math. Psychol. 78, 51–64 (2017)

    Google Scholar 

  13. Lawless, W.F.: The physics of teams: Interdependence, measurable entropy and computational emotion. Front. Phys. 5, 30 (2017). https://doi.org/10.3389/fphy.2017.00030

    Article  Google Scholar 

  14. Lawless, W.F., Akiyoshi, M., Angjellari-Dajcic, F., Whitton, J.: Public consent for the geologic disposal of highly radioactive wastes and spent nuclear fuel. Int. J. Environ. Stud. 71(1), 41–62 (2014)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  15. Lawless, W.F.: Quantum-like interdependence theory advances autonomous human-machine teams A-HMTs. Entropy 22(11), 1227 (2020). https://doi.org/10.3390/e22111227

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  16. Freer, R.D., Perdue, W.C.: Civil procedure, Cincinatti: Anderson (1996)

    Google Scholar 

  17. Cooke, N.J., Hilton, M.L. (eds.): Enhancing the Effectiveness of Team Science. Authors: Committee on the Science of Team Science; Board on Behavioral, Cognitive, and Sensory Sciences; Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education; National Research Council. National Academies Press, Washington (DC) (2015)

    Google Scholar 

  18. Cooke, N.: Effective human-artificial intelligence teaming, AAAI-2020 Spring Symposium, Stanford, CA; see the agenda at (2020). https://aaai.org/Symposia/Spring/sss20symposia.php#ss03

  19. Walden, D.D., Roedler, G.J., Forsberg, K.J., Hamelin, R.D., Shortell, T.M. (eds.): Systems Engineering Handbook. A Guide for System Life Cycle Processes and Activities (4th Edition). Prepared by International Council on System Engineering (INCOSE-TP-2003-002-04. John Wiley & Sons, Hoboken, NJ (2015)

    Google Scholar 

  20. Schrödinger, E.: Discussion of Probability Relations Between Separated Systems. In: Proceedings of the Cambridge Philosophical Society, vol. 31, no. 4, pp. 555–563 (1935)

    Google Scholar 

  21. Lewin, K.: Field theory of social science. Selected theoretical papers. Darwin Cartwright (Ed.). New York: Harper & Brothers (1951)

    Google Scholar 

  22. Lawless, W.F.: Towards an epistemology of interdependence among the orthogonal roles in human–machine teams. Found. Sci. 26(1), 129–142 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10699-019-09632-5

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  23. Rees, M., Livio, M.: If Aliens Exist, Here’s How We’ll Find Them. Two esteemed astrophysicists peer into the future of space exploration. Nautilus (2021). https://nautil.us/issue/97/wonder/if-aliens-exist-heres-how-well-find-them. Accessed 29 Mar 2021

  24. Scharpf F.W.: European governance: common concerns vs. the challenge of diversity. In: Jachtenfuchs, M., Knodt, M. (eds.) Regieren in internationalen Institutionen. VS Verlag für Sozialwissenschaften, Wiesbaden (2002)

    Google Scholar 

  25. Cooke, N.J., Lawless, W.F.: Effective human-artificial intelligence teaming. In: Lawless, W.F., Mittu, R., Sofge, D.A., Shortell, T., McDermott, T.A. (eds.) Systems Engineering and Artificial Intelligence. Springer, New York (2021)

    Google Scholar 

  26. Pearl, J.: Reasoning with Cause and Effect, AI Magazine, 23(1): 95–111 (2002). https://aaai.org/ojs/index.php/aimagazine/article/download/1612/1511

  27. Pearl, J., Mackenzie, D.: AI Can’t Reason Why. The current data-crunching approach to machine learning misses an essential element of human intelligence, Wall Street Journal (2018). https://www.wsj.com/articles/ai-cant-reason-why-1526657442

  28. Sofge, D.A., Lawless, W.F., Mittu, R.: AI Bookie Bet: Autonomous AI takes responsibility: threat, savior or both? AI Mag. 40(3), 79–84 (2019)

    Google Scholar 

  29. Winkler, E.: CBS-Viacom Fight Is Fixed. Redstone has control of both companies and her next step may be to change the board at CBS, Wall Street Journal, (2018). https://www.wsj.com/articles/cbs-viacom-fight-is-fixed-1522920601. Accessed 4 Apr 2021

  30. Subrahmanian, V.S.: (2021), Cybersecurity Needs a New Alert System. While America slowly addresses vulnerabilities in software and hardware, enemies strike Wall Street Journal https://www.wsj.com/articles/cybersecurity-needs-a-new-alert-system-11617039278. Accessed 30 Mar 2021

  31. Ives, N.: Intel Taps Justin Long, Who Played Mac in Long-Running Apple Ads, to Promote PCs. A new ad campaign aims to turn a well-known Apple effort on its head. Wall Street Journal (2021).https://www.wsj.com/articles/intel-taps-justin-long-who-played-mac-in-long-running-apple-ads-to-promote-pcs-11615978800. Accessed 18 Mar 2021

  32. Schechner, S.: Apple Scores Legal Win in France Over App-Privacy Changes. French competition authority says Apple’s changes ‘don’t appear to be abusive, Wall Street Journal, (2021). https://www.wsj.com/articles/apple-scores-legal-win-in-france-over-app-privacy-changes-11615971737. Accessed 18 Mar 2021

  33. Felten, E.: The Left's Legal Top Gun Marc Elias Isn't Finished With Democracy Yet, RealClearInvestigations, (2021). https://www.realclearinvestigations.com/articles/2021/03/24/the_lefts_legal_top_gun_marc_elias_isnt_finished_with_democracy_yet_769457.html. Accessed 24 Mar 2021

  34. Boston, W.: Volkswagen to Seek Damages From Former CEO Winterkorn in Diesel Scandal. Decision caps yearslong internal investigation into the origins of one of Europe’s biggest corporate scandals, Wall Street Journal (2021). https://www.wsj.com/articles/volkswagen-to-seek-damages-from-former-ceo-winterkorn-in-diesel-scandal-11616773838. Accessed 29 Mar 2021

  35. Lombardo, C.: CAE to Buy L3Harris’s Military-Training Business. Deal values the division, which specializes in pilot training and flight simulators, at $1.05 billion,” Wall Street Journal (2021). https://www.wsj.com/articles/cae-nears-deal-to-buy-l3harriss-military-training-business-11614553200. Accessed 29 Mar 2021

  36. Nandakumar, D., Shibu, A.M., Spaulding, R.: Canadian Pacific to buy Kansas City Southern in $25 billion railway bet on trade, Reuters (2021). https://www.reuters.com/article/us-kansas-city-southern-m-a-canadian-pac/canadian-pacific-to-buy-kansas-city-southern-in-25-billion-railway-bet-on-trade-idUSKBN2BD02B. Accessed 29 Mar 2021

  37. Bender, R.: Bayer Posts Third-Quarter Loss on Agriculture Woes. Two years after Monsanto acquisition, German firm is hurting from Covid-19 pandemic, legal battle over Roundup, Wall Street Journal (2020). https://www.wsj.com/articles/bayer-posts-third-quarter-loss-on-agriculture-woes-11604393190. Accessed 29 Mar 2021

  38. Augustyn, A.: Convergence. Mathematics. Britannica. (2020). https://www.britannica.com/science/convergence-mathematics. Accessed 28 Feb 2021

  39. Groysberg, B., Lee, J., Price, J., Cheng, J.Y.J.: Convergence Matters. When employees’ views of the culture align, engagement and customer orientation benefit Harvard Business Review (2018). https://hbr.org/2018/01/convergence-matters. Accessed 28 Feb 2021

  40. Kerr, C., Dunlap, J.T., Harbison, F.H., Myers, C.A.: Industrialism and Industrial Man. Harvard University Press, Cambridge, Mass. (1960)

    Google Scholar 

  41. Forrester, J.W.: The Beginning of System Dynamics. Sloan School of Management Massachusetts Institute of Technology Cambridge, Massachusetts (1989)

    Google Scholar 

  42. Hambling, D.: China Developing Hypersonic Swarms To Overwhelm Missile Defenses, Forbes (2021). https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidhambling/2021/03/18/china-developing-hypersonic-swarms-to-overwhelm-missile-defenses/?sh=79ef269c373a. Accessed 3 Jan 2021

  43. AFC PC: Project Convergence. Army Futures Command (2021). https://armyfuturescommand.com/convergence/. Accessed 29 Jan 2021

  44. Janis, I.L: Victims of Groupthink: A psychological study of foreign-policy decisions and fiascoes. Houghton Mifflin Company (1972)

    Google Scholar 

  45. Morson, G.S., Schapiro, M.: Minds Wide Shut: How the New Fundamentalisms Divide Us. Princeton University Press, Princeton (2021)

    Book  Google Scholar 

  46. Ginsburg, R.B.: American Electric Power Co., Inc., et al. v. Connecticut et al., 10–174 (2011). http://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/10pdf/10-174.pdf. Accessed 11 May 2017

  47. Schneider, M.B.: Putin Nukes Biden, RealClearDefense, https://www.realcleardefense.com/articles/2021/04/03/putin_nukes_biden_771156.html. Accessed 3 Apr 2021

  48. Martin, D., Watson, E.: U.S. watching escalation of armed confrontation near Ukraine's border with Russia, CBS News. https://www.cbsnews.com/news/russia-troops-ukraine-border-concerning-united-states/. Accessed 3 Apr 2021

  49. Trevithick, J.: Russian Armor Floods Toward Border With Ukraine Amid Fears Of An Imminent Crisis. A flurry of alarming reports and social media posts indicate that Russia is pouring military hardware into Crimea and its border with Eastern Ukraine, The Drive (2021). https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/40016/russian-armor-floods-toward-border-with-ukraine-amid-fears-of-an-imminent-crisis. Accessed 3 Apr 2021

  50. Sherr, J.: Rumours of War: Another Russian Surprise in Ukraine? The International Centre for Defence and Security (ICDS) (2021). https://icds.ee/en/rumours-of-war-another-russian-surprise-in-ukraine/. Accessed 3 Apr 2021

  51. Kramer, A.E.: Fighting escalates in Eastern Ukraine, signaling the end to another cease-fire. Ukraine and Russia issued statements Tuesday noting the worsening of a conflict that has been on a low simmer for years, with countless cease-fires, New York Times (2021). https://www.nytimes.com/2021/03/30/world/europe/ukraine-russia-fighting.html. Accessed 3 Apr 2021

  52. Shinkman, P.D.: Russia Threatens U.S., NATO Against Action in Ukraine. New warnings from the Kremlin follows unconfirmed footage of Russian military equipment flowing toward its border with Ukraine, and growing fears among Western leaders US News and World Report, (2021). https://www.usnews.com/news/world-report/articles/2021-04-02/fairy-tale-russias-new-threats-to-nato-met-with-dismissals. Accessed 4 Apr 2021

  53. Kofman, M.: Russia's Military Buildup Near Ukraine Is an Intimidation Tactic. Russia's military posturing appears to be primarily coercive and demonstrative in nature, Moscow Times (2021). https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2021/04/03/russian-military-build-up-near-ukraine-is-an-intimidation-tactic-a73461. Accessed 5 Apr 2021

  54. Thomas, N., Jamison, M., Gamber, K., Walton, D.: What the United States Military Can Learn from the Nagorno-Karabakh War, Small Wars Journal (2021). https://smallwarsjournal.com/jrnl/art/what-united-states-military-can-learn-nagorno-karabakh-war. Accessed 5 Apr 2021

  55. Hambling, D.: The ‘Magic Bullet’ Drones Behind Azerbaijan’s Victory Over Armenia. Forbes, (2020). https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidhambling/2020/11/10/the-magic-bullet-drones-behind--azerbaijans-victory-over-armenia/?sh=60ce05f25e57. Accessed 5 Apr 2021

  56. Bohr, N.: Causality and Complementarity, Philosophy of Science (1937). 4(3): 289–298. http://www.jstor.org/stable/184445.Accessed 28 Feb 2021

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to W. F. Lawless .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2021 Springer Nature Switzerland AG

About this chapter

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this chapter

Lawless, W.F., Sofge, D.A. (2021). Interdependence and Vulnerability in Systems: A Review of Theory for Autonomous Human-Machine Teams. In: Lawless, W.F., Llinas, J., Sofge, D.A., Mittu, R. (eds) Engineering Artificially Intelligent Systems. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 13000. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-89385-9_15

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-89385-9_15

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-030-89384-2

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-030-89385-9

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics