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Data-Driven Analysis of Microfinance and Social Loans Before and During the COVID-19 Pandemic Using Exploratory Analysis and Decision Tree Classifiers

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Machine Learning and Data Analytics for Solving Business Problems

Abstract

Social banking and microfinance have become the key factors for supporting low-income families and underprivileged citizens as well as developing and sponsoring microenterprises. This role has become more important, especially with the widespread of COVID-19 pandemic and its economic repercussions on individuals and microenterprises. We propose in this chapter a data-driven study on the repercussions of the COVID-19 pandemic on the beneficiaries’ characteristics of social and microloans. Our analysis is based on a real case study of Saudi Social Development Bank (SDB) by analyzing microfinance loans granted by this important social financing bank for the years 2019 and 2020. Our study mainly investigates the changes in demographic, social, and economic characteristics of the beneficiaries using both a bivariate exploratory analysis and a decision tree classifier. A machine learning decision tree classification model has been built, for individual and business microcredits, to easily visualize the main beneficiary characteristics of each credit category before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. The built decision trees allowed to deeply understand the main characteristics of each credit category which will help managers to design more suitable and fitted microfinance products.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    https://data.gov.sa/Data/en/organization/social_development_bank

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Correspondence to Chiheb-Eddine Ben Ncir .

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Ncir, CE.B., Alyoubi, B., Alrazyeg, R. (2022). Data-Driven Analysis of Microfinance and Social Loans Before and During the COVID-19 Pandemic Using Exploratory Analysis and Decision Tree Classifiers. In: Alyoubi, B., Ben Ncir, CE., Alharbi, I., Jarboui, A. (eds) Machine Learning and Data Analytics for Solving Business Problems. Unsupervised and Semi-Supervised Learning. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-18483-3_2

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