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Adaptive Data-driven Predictor of Ship Maneuvering Motion Under Varying Ocean Environments

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Leveraging Applications of Formal Methods, Verification and Validation. Practice (ISoLA 2022)

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNCS,volume 13704))

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Abstract

Modern marine vessels operate increasingly autonomously, enabled by the strong interaction between data acquisition and analysis. The data-driven technology has been widely applied and significantly benefits maritime clusters by providing real-time predictions, optimizations, monitoring, controlling, improved decision-making, etc. While offshore engineering applications are usually operating in highly dynamic environments, which is an unavoidable obstacle when developing motion predictors. To this end, we propose an adaptive data-driven predictor aiming to supply decision support for vessels under varying ocean status. The predictor based on the Gaussian Process can decide whether and when to update itself from the assessment of external situations. By optimizing the ancient model with new observations, the adaptive model better fits the current situation, and efforts of re-training from scratch could be saved. Co-simulation, as an enabling tool, is utilized to simulate the dynamic ocean environments and ship maneuvers. Experimental results have demonstrated the effectiveness of the adaptive predictor, especially when unseen weather is encountered.

This work was supported by a grant from the Research Council of Norway through the Knowledge-Building Project for industry “Digital Twins for Vessel Life Cycle Service” (Project no: 270803).

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Ocean Operations and Civil Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU), Trondheim, Norway

    Tongtong Wang, Robert Skulstad, Motoyasu Kanazawa, Guoyuan Li & Houxiang Zhang

  2. Department of ICT and Natural Sciences, Faculty of Information Technology and Electrical Engineering, Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU), Trondheim, Norway

    Lars Ivar Hatledal

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  1. Tongtong Wang
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  2. Robert Skulstad
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  3. Motoyasu Kanazawa
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  4. Lars Ivar Hatledal
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  5. Guoyuan Li
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  6. Houxiang Zhang
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Correspondence to Tongtong Wang .

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Editors and Affiliations

  1. University of Limerick, CSIS and Lero, Limerick, Ireland

    Tiziana Margaria

  2. TU Dortmund, Dortmund, Germany

    Bernhard Steffen

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Wang, T., Skulstad, R., Kanazawa, M., Hatledal, L.I., Li, G., Zhang, H. (2022). Adaptive Data-driven Predictor of Ship Maneuvering Motion Under Varying Ocean Environments. In: Margaria, T., Steffen, B. (eds) Leveraging Applications of Formal Methods, Verification and Validation. Practice. ISoLA 2022. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 13704. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-19762-8_8

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-19762-8_8

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  • Online ISBN: 978-3-031-19762-8

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