Abstract
Disruptive technology is an innovation that initially performs poorly in mainstream markets, but eventually disrupts and replaces existing product. The concept of disruptive technology has been studied at both micro and macro levels. The identification of disruptive technology includes the approaches based on subjective data and objective data. Understanding the nature and dynamics of disruptive technology is important for businesses and policymakers as it can have significant impacts on industries and society as a whole. In this paper, 259,706 nanotechnology papers from 1999 to 2015, are collected to identify disruptive technology in nano field. 53 highly cited paper with more than 1000 citations are analysed, using Disruption index. Study results show that Phosphorene and Polymer solar cells are the top high disruptive technology. In terms of team sizes, disruptive technology in highly cited papers are small teams.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
Abernathy, W.J., Clark, K.B.: Innovation: mapping the winds of creative destruction. Res. Policy 14, 3–22 (1985)
Adams, F.P., Bromley, B.P., Moore, M.: Assessment of disruptive innovation in emerging energy technologies. In: IEEE Electrical Power and Energy Conference, pp. 110–115. IEEE Computer Society, London (2014)
Adner, R.: The Wide Lens: A New Strategy for Innovation. Penguin, London (2012)
Anderson, P., Tushman, M.L.: Technological discontinuities and dominant designs: a cyclical model of technological change. Adm. Sci. Q. 35, 604–633 (1990)
Arianfars, S., Kallenbach, J., Mitts, H., et al.: Back to the future-prediction of incremental and disruptive innovations. In: Finland: Aalto University Multidisciplinary Institute of Digitalisation and Energy (MIDE), pp. 11–16 (2012)
Bai, G.Z., Zheng, Y.R., Wu, X.N., et al.: Research and demonstration on forecasting method of disruptive technology based on literature knowledge correlation. J. Intell. 36(9), 38–44 (2017)
Bloodworth, I.: A search for discriminative linguistic makers in ICT practitioner discourse, for the ex-ante identification of disruptive innovation. Victoria University of Wellington, New Zealand (2012)
Bornmann, L., Devarakonda, S., Tekles, A., Chacko, G.: Disruptive papers published in Scientometrics: meaningful results by using an improved variant of the disruption index originally proposed by Wu, Wang, and Evans (2019). Scientometrics 123, 1149–1155 (2020)
Bower, J.L., Christensen, C.M.: Disruptive technologies: catching the wave. Harvard Bus. Rev. 73(1), 43–53 (1995)
Buchanan, B., Corken, R.: A toolkit for the systematic analysis of patent data to assess a potentially disruptive technology, pp. 1–16. Intellectual Property Office, United Kingdom (2010)
Carayannopoulos, S.: How technology-based new firms leverage newness and smallness to commercialize disruptive technologies. Entrepreneurship Theory Pract. 33(2), 419–438 (2009)
Cheng, Y., Huang, L.C., Ramlogan, R., Li, X.: Forecasting of potential impacts of disruptive technology in promising technological areas: elaborating the SIRS epidemic model in RFID technology. Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 117, 170–183 (2016)
Christensen, C.M., Bower, J.L.: Customer power, strategic investment, and the failure of leading firms. Strateg. Manag. J. 17(3), 197–218 (1996)
Christensen, C.M., Raynor, M.E.: The innovator’s solution: creating and sustaining successful growth. Res.-Technol. Manag. 46(5), 61 (2003)
Christensen, C.M.: The Innovator’s Dilemma: The Revolutionary Book that Will Change the Way You Do Business. Harvard Business School Press, Boston, MA (1997)
Collins, R., Hevne, R.A., Linge, R.R.: Evaluating a disruptive innovation: function extraction technology in software development. In: Proceedings of the 2011 44th Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences, pp. 1–8. IEEE Computer Society, Hawaii (2011)
Danneels, E.: Disruptive technology reconsidered: a critique and research agenda. J. Prod. Innov. Manag. 21(4), 246–259 (2004)
Diab, S., Kanyaru, J., Zantout, H.: Disruptive innovation: a dedicated forecasting framework. In: Jezic, G., Howlett, R.J., Jain, L.C. (eds.) Agent and Multi-Agent Systems: Technologies and Applications. SIST, vol. 38, pp. 227–237. Springer, Cham (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-19728-9_19
Dombrowski, P., Gholz, E.: Identifying disruptive innovation: innovation theory and the defense industry. Innovations 4(2), 101–117 (2009)
Dotsika, F., Watkins, A.: Identifying potentially disruptive trends by means of keyword network analysis. Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 119, 114–127 (2017)
Govindarajan, V., Kopalle, P.K.: Disruptiveness of Innovations: measurement and an assessment of reliability and validity. Strat. Manag. J. 27(2), 189–199 (2006)
Grosse, R.: Emerging Markets: Strategies for Competing in the Global Value Chain. Kogan Page Publishers, London, Philadelphia and New Delhi (2015)
Guo, J.F., Pan, J.F., Guo, J.X., et al.: Measurement framework for assessing disruptive innovations. Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 139, 250–265 (2019)
Henderson, R.: The innovator’s dilemma as a problem of organizational competence. J. Prod. Innov. Manag. 23, 5–11 (2006)
Huang, L.C., Cheng, Y., Wu, F.F.: Study on identification framework of disruptive technology. Stud. Sci. Sci. 33(5), 654–664 (2015)
Janke, A.: Identifying the disruptive potential of the sustainable innovation in the case of e-mobility. In: World Congress on Sustainable Technologies (WCST), pp. 63–64. IEEE, London (2015)
Jia, W.F., Xie, Y.P., Zhao, Y.N., et al.: Research on disruptive technology recognition of China’s electronic information and communication industry based on patent influence. J. Glob. Inf. Manag. 29(2), 148–165 (2021)
Kassicieh, S., Rahal, N.: A model for disruptive technology forecasting in strategic regional economic development. Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 74(9), 1718–1732 (2007)
Kassicieh, S., Walsh, S., Cummings, S., McWhorter, J., Romig, P., Williams, D.: Commercialization of disruptive technologies: moving discontinuous innovations into products. IEEE Trans. Eng. Manag. 49(4), 375–387 (2002)
Kim, J., Park, Y., Lee, Y.: A visual scanning of potential disruptive signals for technology road mapping: investigating keyword cluster, intensity, and relationship in futuristic data. Technol. Anal. Strat. Manag. 28(10), 1–22 (2016)
Kostoff, R.N., Boylan, R., Simons, G.R.: Science and technology test mining: disruptive technology roadmaps. Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 71(1), 141–159 (2004)
Lee, C.-Y., Lee, J.-H., Gaur, A.S.: Are large business groups conducive to industry innovation? The moderating role of technological appropriability. Asia Pac. J. Manag. 34(2), 313–337 (2017)
Liu, H., et al.: Phosphorene: an unexplored 2D semiconductor with a high hole mobility. ACS Nano 8(4), 4033–4041 (2014)
Luan, C.J., Cheng, F.: Measuring and forecasting technology market potential based on aggregative indicators of disruptive potential & technology maturity. Stud. Sci. Sci. 34(12), 1761–1768, 1816 (2016)
Luo, S.P., Kou, C.C., Jin, J., et al.: Disruptive technology prediction based on outlier patents: traditional Chinese medicine patents as an example. Inf. Stud.: Theory Appl. 42(7), 165–170 (2019)
Lynn, G., Morone, J., Paulson, A.: Marketing and discontinuous innovation: the probe and learn process. Calif. Manag. Rev. 38(3), 8–37 (1996)
Ma, W., Yang, C., Gong, X., Lee, K., Heeger, A.J.: Thermally stable, efficient polymer solar cells with nanoscale control of the interpenetrating network morphology. Adv. Funct. Mater. 15(10), 1617–1622 (2005)
Momeni, A., Rost, K.: Identification and monitoring of possible disruptive technologies by patent-development paths and topic modeling. Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 104, 16–29 (2016)
Naumov, S.A.: Case study of the competitive behavior of companies in response to disruptive technologies in the dynamic environment of changing user needs. Doctoral dissertation, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (2013)
Paap, J., Katz, R.: Anticipating disruptive innovation. Res.-Technol. Manag. 47(5), 13–22 (2004)
Ruan, Y., Hang, C.C., Wang, Y.M.: Government’s role in disruptive innovation and industry emergence: the case of the electric bike in China. Technovation 34(12), 785–796 (2014)
Sainio, L.M., Puumalainen, K.: Evaluating technology disruptiveness in a strategic corporate context: a case study. Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 74(8), 1315–1333 (2007)
Schmidt, G.M., Druehl, C.T.: When is a disruptive innovation disruptive? J. Prod. Innov. Manag. 25, 347–369 (2008)
Schuelke-Leech, B.A.: A model for understanding the orders of magnitude of disruptive technologies. Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 129, 261–274 (2018)
Schumpeter, J.A.: Business Cycles: A Theoretical, Historical, and Statistical Analysis of the Capitalist Process, vol. 1. McGraw-Hill Book Company Inc, New York, NY (1939)
Schumpeter, J.A.: Business Cycles: A Theoretical, Historical, and Statistical Analysis of the Capitalist Process, vol. 2. McGraw-Hill Book Company Inc, New York, NY (1939)
Sherif, M.H., Seo, D.B.: Government role in information and communications technology innovations. In: Innovations for Digital Inclusions, K-IDI ITU-T Kaleidoscope. IEEE (2009)
Shvidanenko, G., Shvidanenko, O., Sica, E., Busarieva, T.: The role of disruptive technologies in the formation of the world competitive leaders. Manag. Theory Stud. Rural Bus. Infrastruct. Dev. 42(2), 128–132 (2020)
Sood, A., Tellis, G.J.: Demystifying disruption: a new model for understanding and predicting disruptive technologies. Mark. Sci. 30, 339–354 (2011)
Thomond, P., Lettice, F.: Disruptive innovation explored. In: 9th IPSE International Conference on Concurrent Engineering. Research and Applications (2002)
Tushman, M.L., Rosenkopf, L.: Organizational determinants of technological change: toward a sociology of technological evolution. Res. Organ. Behav. 14, 311–347 (1992)
Veryzer, R.: Discontinuous innovation and the new product development process. J. Prod. Innov. Manag. 15(4), 304–321 (1998)
Walsh, S.: Commercialization of MicroSystems—Too fast or too slow. In: SPIE, International Society for Optical Engineering, pp. 12–26 (1996)
Wu, L., Wang, D., Evans, J.A.: Large teams develop and small teams disrupt science and technology. Nature 566(7744), 378–382 (2019)
Wu, X., Ma, R., Shi, Y.: How do latecomer firms capture value from disruptive technologies? A secondary business-model innovation perspective. IEEE Trans. Eng. Manag. 57(1), 51–62 (2010)
Yu, D., Hang, C.C.: A reflective review of disruptive innovation theory. Int. J. Manag. Rev. 12(4), 435–452 (2010)
Zhang, J.Z., Zhang, X.L.: Overview of radical innovation identification based on scientific references in patents. J. China Soc. Sci. Tech. Inf. 35(9), 955–962 (2016)
Acknowledgement
We acknowledge the financial support from the National Natural Science Foundation of China Grants No. 71974215.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2023 The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG
About this paper
Cite this paper
Kong, Y., Huang, B., Wang, Y., Peng, G. (2023). Study on the Identification of Disruptive Technology, Evidence from Nano Science. In: Streitz, N.A., Konomi, S. (eds) Distributed, Ambient and Pervasive Interactions. HCII 2023. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 14036. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-34668-2_6
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-34668-2_6
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-031-34667-5
Online ISBN: 978-3-031-34668-2
eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)