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Epistemic Versus Aleatory: Case of Interval Uncertainty

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Uncertainty, Constraints, and Decision Making

Part of the book series: Studies in Systems, Decision and Control ((SSDC,volume 484))

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Abstract

Interval computations usually deal with the case of epistemic uncertainty, when the only information that we have about a value of a quantity is that this value is contained in a given interval. However, intervals can also represent aleatory uncertainty—when we know that each value from this interval is actually attained for some object at some moment of time. In this paper, we analyze how to take such aleatory uncertainty into account when processing data. We show that in case when different quantities are independent, we can use the same formulas for dealing with aleatory uncertainty as we use for epistemic one. We also provide formulas for processing aleatory intervals in situations when we have no information about the dependence between the inputs quantities.

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References

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Acknowledgements

This work was supported in part by the National Science Foundation grants 1623190 (A Model of Change for Preparing a New Generation for Professional Practice in Computer Science), and HRD-1834620 and HRD-2034030 (CAHSI Includes), and by the AT&T Fellowship in Information Technology.

It was also supported by the program of the development of the Scientific-Educational Mathematical Center of Volga Federal District No. 075-02-2020-1478, and by a grant from the Hungarian National Research, Development and Innovation Office (NRDI).

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Correspondence to Vladik Kreinovich .

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Mizukoshi, M.T., Lodwick, W., Ceberio, M., Kosheleva, O., Kreinovich, V. (2023). Epistemic Versus Aleatory: Case of Interval Uncertainty. In: Ceberio, M., Kreinovich, V. (eds) Uncertainty, Constraints, and Decision Making. Studies in Systems, Decision and Control, vol 484. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-36394-8_62

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