Abstract
Events such as geomagnetic storms and solar winds cause significant changes and deterioration in the upper layers of the earth’s atmosphere. These distortions have a significant effect on the waves and signals used by the satellites and radios we use. Based on different satellite observations, studies on geomagnetic storms, ionosphere TEC (Total Electron Content) samples, and GPS observations, we can obtain some measurements. Another important natural event in measuring temperature data and investigating its effects is rain. In this study, it is aimed to determine the effect of TEC change in the ionosphere on the daily precipitation for Izmir, Trabzon and Istanbul provinces of Turkey and to determine whether the success of the algorithms used for different regions will change according to the region, that is, the data. The temporal variation of TEC data for the period January 1–December 31, 2017 has been examined and modelled. In this study 60% of the one-year daily data was used for training, 20% for evaluation, and 20% for testing. In the first part of the study, wavelet transforms and large, medium, and small scale changes in TEC and precipitation data were examined. In the second part of the study, TEC data are modelled with artificial neural networks, support vector machines, and decision tree-based estimation methods. And in the last stage, machine learning algorithms and wavelet were used together to predict TEC data, and the prediction success ratio was tried to be related. There is a sufficient evidence of observed and estimated TEC data with alpha = 0, 05 significant level.
These authors Contributed equally to this work.
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SVM Algorithm: https://www.javatpoint.com/machine-learning-support-vector-machine-algorithm. Erişim Tarihi: 12 Mayıs 2023, Erişim Saati: 13:25
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Doven, S., Güdar, B., Al-Nimer, K., Aslan, Z. (2023). Estimating the Effect of TEC Data on Rain with Modelling and Wavelet Transformation Analysis. In: Gervasi, O., et al. Computational Science and Its Applications – ICCSA 2023 Workshops. ICCSA 2023. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 14104. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-37105-9_5
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