Abstract
Understanding cities’ complexity is essential for correctly developing public policies and urban management. Only some studies have attempted to relate the activity carried out by city inhabitants with the macro characteristics of a city, mainly its capacity to innovate. In this study, we seek to find those features that allow us to distinguish between an innovative city from those still on the way to becoming one. To carry out this analysis, we have the activity patterns decomposition obtained through geo-tagged social media digital traces and their respective innovation index for more than 100 cities worldwide. The results show that it is possible to predict the city’s innovative category from their activity patterns. Our model achieves an AUC = 0.71 and a KS = 0.42. This result is significant because it allows us to establish a relationship between the activities carried out by people in the city and their innovation index, a characteristic given for the capacity and development of cultural assets, infrastructure, and the quality of markets.
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Acknowledgements
This work would not have been accomplished without the financial support of CONICYT-PFCHA/DOCTORADO BECAS CHILE/2019-21190345. The last author received research funds from the Basque Government as the head of the Grupo de Inteligencia Computacional, Universidad del Pais Vasco, UPV/EHU, from 2007 until 2025. The current code for the grant is IT1689-22. Additionally, the author participates in Elkartek projects KK-2022/00051 and KK-2021/00070. The Spanish MCIN has also granted the author a research project under code PID2020-116346GB-I00.
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Muñoz-Cancino, R., Ríos, S.A., Graña, M. (2023). Predicting Innovative Cities Using Spatio-Temporal Activity Patterns. In: García Bringas, P., et al. Hybrid Artificial Intelligent Systems. HAIS 2023. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 14001. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-40725-3_48
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-40725-3_48
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