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Predictive Analytics for Object-Centric Processes: Do Graph Neural Networks Really Help?

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Business Process Management Workshops (BPM 2023)

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Business Information Processing ((LNBIP,volume 492))

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Abstract

The object-centric process paradigm is increasingly gaining popularity in academia and industry. According to this paradigm, the process delineates through the parallel execution of different execution flows, each referring to a different object involved in the process. Object interaction is present, and takes place through bridging events where these parallel executions synchronize and exchange data. However, the complex intricacy of instances of such processes relating to each other via many-to-many associations makes a direct application of predictive process analytics approaches designed for single-id event logs impossible. This paper reports on the experience of comparing the predictions of two techniques based on gradient boosting or the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network against two based on graph neural networks. The four techniques were empirically evaluated on event logs related to two real object-centric processes, and more than 20 different KPI definitions. The results show that graph-based neural networks generally perform worse than techniques based on Gradient Boosting. Considering that graph-based neural networks have training times that are 8-10 times larger, the conclusion is that their use does not seem to be justified.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    Given a sequence X, |X| indicates the length of X.

  2. 2.

    The special case of an arc between two events with the same timestamp can be dealt separately: in this case, the arc is bi-directional.

  3. 3.

    To keep the explanation simple, we assume that the enumerations of all attributes \(v \in V\) and all activities \(a \in A\) are always returned consistently as if there is a total order among the variables and among activities (e.g., the alphabetical order).

  4. 4.

    In literature, LSTMs are often trained based on matrices. However, a sequence of m vectors in \(\mathbb {R}^n\) can be seen, in fact, as a matrix in \(\mathbb {R}^{n \times m}\). We use here the data set representation as vectors to simplify the formalization.

  5. 5.

    The presence of NDAs prevent the authors from publicly sharing the datasets.

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Acknowledgement

This research is partly funded by Department of Mathematics of University of Padua, through the BIRD project “Data-driven Business Process Improvement” (code BIRD215924/21).

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Correspondence to Riccardo Galanti .

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Galanti, R., de Leoni, M. (2024). Predictive Analytics for Object-Centric Processes: Do Graph Neural Networks Really Help?. In: De Weerdt, J., Pufahl, L. (eds) Business Process Management Workshops. BPM 2023. Lecture Notes in Business Information Processing, vol 492. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-50974-2_39

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-50974-2_39

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  • Online ISBN: 978-3-031-50974-2

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