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Prediction of Chaotic Time Series of RBF Neural Network Based on Particle Swarm Optimization

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Intelligent Data analysis and its Applications, Volume II

Part of the book series: Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing ((AISC,volume 298))

Abstract

Radial basis function (RBF) neural network has very good performance on prediction of chaotic time series, but the precision of prediction is great affected by embedding dimension and delay time of phase-space reconstruction in the process of predicting. Based on hereinbefore problems, we comprehensive optimize embedding dimension and delay time by particle swarm optimization, to get the optimal values of embedding dimension and delay time in RBF single-step and multi-step prediction models. In addition, we made single step and multi-step prediction to the Lorenz system by this method, the results show that the prediction accuracy of optimized prediction model is obvious improved.

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Correspondence to Baoxiang Du .

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© 2014 Springer International Publishing Switzerland

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Du, B., Xu, W., Song, B., Ding, Q., Chu, SC. (2014). Prediction of Chaotic Time Series of RBF Neural Network Based on Particle Swarm Optimization. In: Pan, JS., Snasel, V., Corchado, E., Abraham, A., Wang, SL. (eds) Intelligent Data analysis and its Applications, Volume II. Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing, vol 298. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-07773-4_48

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-07773-4_48

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-319-07772-7

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-319-07773-4

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