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Identifying Correlates of Homicide Rates in Michoacán, Mexico

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Social Computing, Behavioral-Cultural Modeling, and Prediction (SBP 2015)

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNISA,volume 9021))

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Abstract

Violent crime rates in Mexico have reached epidemic levels recently due to a corrupt and ineffective government and violent drug-trafficking organizations (DTOs). This research analyzes social, economic, and demographic data, to identify factors that correlate with homicide rates. Previous research efforts have focused on trends of homicide rates and provided subjective recommendations without supporting empirical evidence. This research provides an objective analysis of homicide rates, using a large database consisting of census data provided by the Instituto Nacional De Estradstica Y Geografa (INEGI) website. Through formal experimentation, we found that the most significant indicators were economic and education variables (e.g., Occupants in Refuge and Population over 5 Years Without Schooling), supporting recommendations on policy changes from other research efforts. This paper presents our experiments, results, and insights regarding future work.

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References

  1. Shirk, D.A., et al.: Drug Violence in Mexico: Data and Analysis from 2001–2009. Technical Report, Justice in Mexico Project, Trans-Border Institute, Joan B. Kroc School of Peace Studies (2010)

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Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Systems and Information Engineering, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA

    Carl M. Kruger & Matthew S. Gerber

Authors
  1. Carl M. Kruger
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  2. Matthew S. Gerber
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Corresponding author

Correspondence to Carl M. Kruger .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

  1. University of Arkansas, Little Rock, Arkansas, USA

    Nitin Agarwal

  2. Technicolor Research, Los Altos, California, USA

    Kevin Xu

  3. University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, Canada

    Nathaniel Osgood

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© 2015 Springer International Publishing Switzerland

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Kruger, C.M., Gerber, M.S. (2015). Identifying Correlates of Homicide Rates in Michoacán, Mexico. In: Agarwal, N., Xu, K., Osgood, N. (eds) Social Computing, Behavioral-Cultural Modeling, and Prediction. SBP 2015. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 9021. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-16268-3_37

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-16268-3_37

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  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-319-16267-6

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-319-16268-3

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

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