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Early Prediction of Movie Success — What, Who, and When

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Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNISA,volume 9021))

Abstract

Leveraging historical data from the movie industry, this study built a predictive model for movie success, deviating from past studies by predicting profit (as opposed to revenue) at early stages of production (as opposed to just prior to release) to increase investor certainty. Our work derived several groups of novel features for each movie, based on the cast and collaboration network (who’), content (‘what’), and time of release (‘when’).

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Correspondence to Michael Lash or Kang Zhao .

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© 2015 Springer International Publishing Switzerland

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Lash, M., Fu, S., Wang, S., Zhao, K. (2015). Early Prediction of Movie Success — What, Who, and When. In: Agarwal, N., Xu, K., Osgood, N. (eds) Social Computing, Behavioral-Cultural Modeling, and Prediction. SBP 2015. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 9021. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-16268-3_41

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-16268-3_41

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  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-319-16267-6

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-319-16268-3

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

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