Skip to main content

Early Alzheimer’s Disease Prediction in Machine Learning Setup: Empirical Analysis with Missing Value Computation

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNISA,volume 9375))

Abstract

Alzheimer’s Disease (AD) is the most prevalent progressive neurodegenerative disorder of the elderly. Prospective treatments for slowing down or pausing the process of AD require identification of the disease at an early stage. Many patients with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) may eventually develop AD. In this study, we evaluate the significance of using longitudinal data for efficiently predicting MCI-to-AD conversion a few years ahead of clinical diagnosis. The use of longitudinal data is generally restricted due to missing feature readings. We implement five different techniques to compute missing feature values of neuropsychological predictors of AD. We use two different summary measures to represent the artificially completed longitudinal features. In a comparison with other recent techniques, our work presents an improved accuracy of 71.16 % in predicting pre-clinical AD. These results prove feasibility of building AD staging and prognostic systems using longitudinal data despite the presence of missing values.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.

Buying options

Chapter
USD   29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD   39.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD   54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Learn about institutional subscriptions

References

  1. Duthey, B: Background paper 6.11: Alzheimer disease and other dementias. A Public Health Approach to Innovation, Update on 2004 Background Paper, pp. 1–74 (2013)

    Google Scholar 

  2. Alzheimer’s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative. http://adni.loni.ucs.edu. Accessed April 2015

  3. Asrami, F.F.: AD Classification using K-OPLS and MRI. Masters’ Thesis, Department of Biomedical Engineering, Linkoping University (2012)

    Google Scholar 

  4. Mattila, J., Koikkalainen, J., Virkki, A., Simonsen, A., van Gils, M., Waldemar, G., Soininen, H., Lötjönen, J.: ADNI: a disease state fingerprint for evaluation of AD. J. Alzheimer’s Dis. 27, 163–176 (2011)

    Google Scholar 

  5. Moradi, E., Pepe, A., Gaser, C., Huttunen, H., Tohk, J.: Machine learning framework for early MRI-based Alzheimer’s conversion prediction in MCI subjects. NeuroImage 104, 398–412 (2015)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Zhang, D., Shen, D.: Predicting future clinical changes of MCI patients using longitudinal and multimodal biomarkers. PLoS ONE 7(3), e33182 (2012)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Runtti, H., Mattila, J., van Gils, M., Koikkalainen, J., Soininen, H., Lötjönen, J.: Quantitative evaluation of disease progression in a longitudinal mild cognitive impairment cohort. J. Alzheimer’s Dis. 39(1), 49–61 (2014)

    Google Scholar 

  8. Sperling, R.A., Aisen, P.S., Beckett, L.A., Bennett, D.A., Craft, S., Fagan, A.M., Iwatsubo, T., Jack Jr., C.R., Kaye, J., Montine, T.J., Park, D.C., Reiman, E.M., Rowe, C.C., Siemers, E., Stern, Y., Yaffe, K., Carrillo, M.C., Thies, B., Morrison-Bogorad, M., Wagster, M.V., Phelps, C.H.: Toward defining the preclinical stages of AD: recommendations from the National Institute on Aging-Alzheimer’s Association workgroups on diagnostic guidelines for Alzheimer’s disease. Alzheimers Dement 7, 280–292 (2011)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Albert, M.S., DeKosky, S.T., Dickson, D., Dubois, B., Feldman, H.H., Fox, N.C., Gamst, A., Holtzman, D.M., Jagust, W.J., Petersen, R.C., Snyder, P.J., Carrillo, M.C., Thies, B., Phelps, C.H.: The diagnosis of mild cognitive impairment due to AD: recommendations from the National Institute on Aging-Alzheimer’s Association workgroups on diagnostic guidelines for Alzheimer’s disease. Alzheimers Dement 7, 270–279 (2011)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. Lo, R.Y., Jagust, W.J.: Predicting missing biomarker data in a longitudinal study of AD. Neurology 78(18), 1376–1382 (2012)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. Cuingnet, R., Gerardin, E., Tessieras, J., Auzias, G., Lehéricy, S., Habert, M.O., Chupin, M.: Automatic classification of patients with AD from structural MRI: a comparison of ten methods using the ADNI database. Neuroimage 56(2), 766–781 (2011)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. Wolz, R., Julkunen, V., Koikkalainen, J., Niskanen, E., Zhang, D.P., Rueckert, D., Soininen, H., Lötjönen, J.: Multi-method analysis of MRI images in early diagnosis of AD. PLoS ONE 6(10), 25446 (2011)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  13. Ye, D.H., Pohl, K.M., Davatzikos, C.: Semi-supervised pattern classification: application to structural MRI of AD. In: 2011 International Workshop on Pattern Recognition in NeuroImaging (PRNI), pp. 1–4. IEEE (2011)

    Google Scholar 

  14. Ewers, M., Walsh, C., Trojanowskid, J.Q., Shawd, L.M., Petersene, R.C., Jack Jr., C.R., Feldmang, H.H., Bokdeh, A.L.W., Alexanderi, G.E., Scheltens, P., Vellas, B., Dubois, B., Weinera, M., Hampe, H.: Prediction of conversion from mild cognitive impairment to AD dementia based upon biomarkers and neuropsychological test performance. Neurobiol. Ageing 33(7), 1203–1214 (2012)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  15. Casanova, R., Hsu, F.C., Sink, K.M., Rapp, S.R., Williamson, J.D., Resnick, S.M., Espeland, M.A.: AD risk assessment using large-scale machine learning methods. PLoS ONE 8(11), e77949 (2013)

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

We would like to thank all investigators of ADNI listed at: https://adni.loni.usc.edu/wp-content/uploads/how_to_apply/ADNI_Acknowedge-ment_List.pdf, for developing and making their data publically available.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Consortia

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Sidra Minhas .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2015 Springer International Publishing Switzerland

About this paper

Cite this paper

Minhas, S., Khanum, A., Riaz, F., Alvi, A., Khan, S.A., Alzheimer’s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative. (2015). Early Alzheimer’s Disease Prediction in Machine Learning Setup: Empirical Analysis with Missing Value Computation. In: Jackowski, K., Burduk, R., Walkowiak, K., Wozniak, M., Yin, H. (eds) Intelligent Data Engineering and Automated Learning – IDEAL 2015. IDEAL 2015. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 9375. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-24834-9_49

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-24834-9_49

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-319-24833-2

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-319-24834-9

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics