Skip to main content

Spatio-Temporal Wind Power Prediction Using Recurrent Neural Networks

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:
Neural Information Processing (ICONIP 2017)

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNTCS,volume 10638))

Included in the following conference series:

Abstract

While wind is an abundant source of energy, integrating wind power into existing electricity grids is a major challenge due to its inherent variability. The ability to accurately predict future generation output would greatly mitigate this problem and is thus extremely valuable. Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) techniques have been the basis of many wind prediction approaches, but the use of machine learning techniques is steadily gaining ground. Deep Learning (DL) is a sub-class of machine learning which has been particularly successful and is now the state of the art for a variety of classification and regression problems, notably image processing and natural language processing. In this paper, we demonstrate the use of Recurrent Neural Networks, a type of DL architecture, to extract patterns from the spatio-temporal information collected from neighboring turbines. These are used to generate short term wind energy forecasts which are then benchmarked against various prediction algorithms. The results show significant improvements over forecasts produced using state of the art algorithms.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Institutional subscriptions

Notes

  1. 1.

    https://www.nrel.gov/grid/western-wind-data.html.

  2. 2.

    http://scikit-learn.org.

  3. 3.

    https://keras.io.

  4. 4.

    http://www.windml.org.

References

  1. Kramer, O., Gieseke, F., Satzger, B.: Wind energy prediction and monitoring with neural computation. Neurocomputing 109, 84–93 (2013)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  2. Woon, W.L., Kramer, O.: Enhanced SVR ensembles for wind power prediction. In: 2016 International Joint Conference on Neural Networks (IJCNN), pp. 2743–2748. IEEE (2016)

    Google Scholar 

  3. Heinermann, J., Kramer, O.: Machine learning ensembles for wind power prediction. Renew. Energy 89, 671–679 (2016)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. Dalto, M., Matuško, J., Vašak, M.: Deep neural networks for ultra-short-term wind forecasting. In: 2015 IEEE International Conference on Industrial Technology (ICIT), pp. 1657–1663. IEEE (2015)

    Google Scholar 

  5. Felder, M., Kaifel, A., Graves, A.: Wind power prediction using mixture density recurrent neural networks. In: Poster Presentation gehalten auf der European Wind Energy Conference (2010)

    Google Scholar 

  6. Hochreiter, S., Schmidhuber, J.: Long short-term memory. Neural Comput. 9(8), 1735–1780 (1997)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Chung, J., Gulcehre, C., Cho, K., Bengio, Y.: Empirical evaluation of gated recurrent neural networks on sequence modeling. arXiv preprint arXiv:1412.3555 (2014)

  8. Baets, L.D., Ruyssinck, J., Peiffer, T., Decruyenaere, J., Turck, F.D., Ongenae, F., Dhaene, T.: Positive blood culture detection in time series data using a BiLSTM network. CoRR abs/1612.00962 (2016). http://arxiv.org/abs/1612.00962

  9. Breiman, L.: Random forests. Mach. Learn. 45(1), 5–32 (2001)

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  10. Hastie, T., Tibshirani, R., Friedman, J.: The Elements of Statistical Learning, vol. 2. Springer, New York (2009). doi:10.1007/978-0-387-84858-7

    Book  MATH  Google Scholar 

  11. Pedregosa, F., Varoquaux, G., Gramfort, A., Michel, V., Thirion, B., Grisel, O., Blondel, M., Prettenhofer, P., Weiss, R., Dubourg, V., Vanderplas, J., Passos, A., Cournapeau, D., Brucher, M., Perrot, M., Duchesnay, E.: Scikit-learn: machine learning in Python. J. Mach. Learn. Res. 12, 2825–2830 (2011)

    MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Wei Lee Woon .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2017 Springer International Publishing AG

About this paper

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this paper

Woon, W.L., Oehmcke, S., Kramer, O. (2017). Spatio-Temporal Wind Power Prediction Using Recurrent Neural Networks. In: Liu, D., Xie, S., Li, Y., Zhao, D., El-Alfy, ES. (eds) Neural Information Processing. ICONIP 2017. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 10638. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-70139-4_56

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-70139-4_56

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-319-70138-7

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-319-70139-4

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics