Skip to main content

The Analysis of the Effect of Monetary Policy on Consumption and Investment in Thailand

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:
Predictive Econometrics and Big Data (TES 2018)

Part of the book series: Studies in Computational Intelligence ((SCI,volume 753))

Included in the following conference series:

  • 2128 Accesses

Abstract

This study highlights on the analysis of Thai monetary policy transmission channels, i.e. interest rate, credit, exchange rate, and asset price channels, to private consumption and private investment. The analytical methods are Time Varying Parameter Vector Autoregressive (TVP-VAR) with stochastic volatility, and its impulse response function. The results showed that the credit channel contribute the greatest impact on private consumption and investment. We also found that the effect of monetary policy to private consumption and investment are vary over time.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 259.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 329.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 329.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  1. Angeloni, I., Kashyap, A.K., Mojon, B. (eds.): Monetary Policy Transmission in the Euro Area: A Study by the Eurosystem Monetary Transmission Network. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (2003)

    Google Scholar 

  2. Banuso, F.B., Odior, E.S.: Macroeconomic volatility and government consumption expenditure: implication for public welfare: a dynamic macroeconometric stochastic model. Int. J. Econ. Fin. 4(2), 140 (2012)

    Google Scholar 

  3. Bernanke, B.S., Blinder, A.S.: The federal funds and the channels of monetary transmission. Am. Econ. Rev. 82, 901–921 (1992)

    Google Scholar 

  4. Blanchard, O.: What do we know about macroeconomics that Fisher and Wicksell did not? Q. J. Econ. 115, 1375–1408 (2000)

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  5. Del Negro, M., Primiceri, G.E.: Time-varying structural vector autoregression and monetary policy: a corrigendum. Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff Report 619 (2013)

    Google Scholar 

  6. Doan, T., Litterman, R., Sims, C.: Forecasting and conditional projection using realistic prior distributions. Econometric Rev. 3, 1–144 (1984)

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  7. Eusepi, S., Giannoni, M.P., Preston, B.J.: Long-term debt pricing and monetary policy transmission under imperfect knowledge (2012)

    Google Scholar 

  8. Friedman, M.: Monetary policy: theory and practice. J. Money Credit Bank. 14(1), 98–118 (1982)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  9. Fujiwara, I.: Output composition of the monetary policy transmission mechanism in Japan. Topics in Macroecon. 4(1) (2004)

    Google Scholar 

  10. Heim, J.J.: The impact of consumer confidence on consumption and investment spending. J. Appl. Bus. Econ. 11(2), 37 (2010)

    Google Scholar 

  11. Kaewsompong, N., Sriboonchitta, S., Maneejuk, P., Yamaka, W.: Relationships among prices of rubber in ASEAN: Bayesian structural VAR model. Thai J. Math. 101–116 (2016)

    Google Scholar 

  12. Kantor, B.: Rational expectations and economic thought. J. Econ. Lit. 17(4), 1422–1441 (1979)

    Google Scholar 

  13. Kim, H.E.: Was the Credit a Key Monetary Transmission Mechanism Following The Financial Crisis in The Republic of Korea? The World Bank Policy Working Paper No. 2013 (1999)

    Google Scholar 

  14. Koop, G., Korobilis, D.: Bayesian multivariate time series methods for empirical macroeconomics. Found. Trends Econometrics 3(4), 267–358 (2010)

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  15. Lucas, R.E., Sargent, T.J. (eds.): Rational Expectations and Econometric Practice, vol. 2. University of Minnesota Press, Minneapolis (1981)

    Google Scholar 

  16. Macesich, G.: Monetary Policy and Rational Expectations. Praeger Publishers, New York (1987). 154 pages

    Google Scholar 

  17. Mankiw, N.G.: A quick refresher course in macroeconomics. J. Econ. Lit. XXVIII, 1645–1660 (1990)

    Google Scholar 

  18. Nakajima, J.: Time-Varying Parameter VAR model with stochastic volatility: An overview of methodology and empirical applications (No. 11-E-09). Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan (2011)

    Google Scholar 

  19. Pastpipatkul, P., Yamaka, W., Wiboonpongse, A., Sriboonchitta, S.: Spillovers of quantitative easing on financial markets of Thailand, Indonesia, and the Philippines. In: International Symposium on Integrated Uncertainty in Knowledge Modelling and Decision Making, pp. 374–388. Springer, Cham, October 2015

    Google Scholar 

  20. Pastpipatkul, P., Yamaka, W., Sriboonchitta, S.: Effect of quantitative easing on ASEAN-5 financial markets. In: Causal Inference in Econometrics, pp. 525–543. Springer International Publishing (2016)

    Google Scholar 

  21. Petra, G.K.: European Central Bank Working Paper Series: “Interest Rate Reaction Function and The Taylor Rule in The Euro Area” (2003). www.Sciendirect.com

  22. Pooptakool, K., Subhaswadikul, M.: The monetary transmission mechanism. In: Bank of Thailand Research Symposium (2000)

    Google Scholar 

  23. Sargent, T.J., Wallace, N.: Rational expectations and the dynamics of hyperinflation. Int. Econ. Rev. 14, 328–350 (1973)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  24. Sargent, T.J., Wallace, N.: “Rational” expectations, the optimal monetary instrument, and the optimal money supply rule. J. Polit. Econ. 83(2), 241–254 (1975)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  25. Sims, C., Zha, T.: Bayesian methods for dynamic multivariate models. Int. Econ. Rev. 39, 949–968 (1998)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  26. Van De Schoot, R., Broere, J.J., Perryck, K.H., Zondervan-Zwijnenburg, M., Van Loey, N.E.: Analyzing small data sets using Bayesian estimation: the case of posttraumatic stress symptoms following mechanical ventilation in burn survivors. Eur. J. Psychotraumatol. 6(1), 25216 (2015)

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Roengchai Tansuchat .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2018 Springer International Publishing AG

About this paper

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this paper

Suwannajak, J., Yamaka, W., Sriboonchitta, S., Tansuchat, R. (2018). The Analysis of the Effect of Monetary Policy on Consumption and Investment in Thailand. In: Kreinovich, V., Sriboonchitta, S., Chakpitak, N. (eds) Predictive Econometrics and Big Data. TES 2018. Studies in Computational Intelligence, vol 753. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-70942-0_46

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-70942-0_46

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-319-70941-3

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-319-70942-0

  • eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics