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Effective Defence Against Zero-Day Exploits Using Bayesian Networks

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Critical Information Infrastructures Security (CRITIS 2016)

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNSC,volume 10242))

Abstract

Industrial Control Systems (ICS) play a crucial role in controlling industrial processes. Unlike conventional IT systems or networks, cyber attacks against ICS can cause destructive physical damage. Zero-day exploits (i.e. unknown exploits) have demonstrated their essential contributions to causing such damage by Stuxnet. In this work, we investigate the possibility of improving the tolerance of a system against zero-day attacks by defending against known weaknesses of the system. We first propose a metric to measure the system tolerance against zero-day attacks, which is the minimum effort required by zero-day exploits to compromise a system. We then apply this metric to evaluate different defensive plans to decide the most effective one in maximising the system tolerance against zero-day attacks. A case study about ICS security management is demonstrated in this paper.

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Acknowledgement

This work is funded by the EPSRC project RITICS: Trustworthy Industrial Control Systems (EP/L021013/1).

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Correspondence to Tingting Li .

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Li, T., Hankin, C. (2017). Effective Defence Against Zero-Day Exploits Using Bayesian Networks. In: Havarneanu, G., Setola, R., Nassopoulos, H., Wolthusen, S. (eds) Critical Information Infrastructures Security. CRITIS 2016. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 10242. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-71368-7_11

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-71368-7_11

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  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-319-71367-0

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-319-71368-7

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