Abstract
An option trading model based on Kelly criterion is proposed in this work. Via longing and shorting options at different strike prices, various portfolio strategies which lock the losses and profits in advance can be formed; in other words, we hold a portfolio of options with a fixed profit and loss distribution. We design and use Kelly criterion applied to the options trading, in terms of calculating the optimal bidding fraction. In this paper we provide a model for developing an option trading system for finding the profitable option portfolio with optimal bidding fraction. This is a new approach for option trading with position management, and some future directions are provided.
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Acknowledgments
This work was supported by Ministry of Science and Technology, Taiwan, under Grant MOST 106-2221-E-027-145, 106-3114-E-001-006, 105-2221-E-001-009-MY3, 104-2221-E-001-008-MY3, and Academia Sinica Thematic Project under Grant AS-104-TP-A05.
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Wu, ME., Chung, WH. (2018). A Novel Approach for Option Trading Based on Kelly Criterion. In: Nguyen, N., Hoang, D., Hong, TP., Pham, H., Trawiński, B. (eds) Intelligent Information and Database Systems. ACIIDS 2018. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 10751. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-75417-8_49
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