Abstract
In this paper, we present the methodology and the architecture of an early warning system for (1) detection of health risks, (2) prediction of the temporal and spatial spread of epidemics and (3) estimation of the consequences of an epidemic w.r.t. the personnel load and costs of the public health service. To cope this three task, we combine methods from statistics and artificial intelligence.
supported by the DFN-Verein (German society for the national research net) and the AOK Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (General health insurance company)
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Aamodt, A. ; Plaza, P. : Case-Based Reasoning: Foundational Issues, Methodological Variations, and System Approaches.AI Communications 7(1) 1994, 39–59
Bailey, N.J.T.: The Mathematical Theory of Epidemics.High Wycombe, Charles Griffiin, 1957
Edgington, E.S.: Randomization Tests.Marcel Dekker, Inc., NewYork 1987
Farrington, C.P.; Andrews, N.J.; Beale, A.D.; Catchpole, M.A.: A Statistical Algorithm for the Early Detection of Outbreak of Infectious Diseases.J.R. Statist. Soc. A (1996) 159, Part 3, 547–563
Fayyad, U. M. ; Piatetsky-Shapiro, G.; Smyth, P. ; Uthurusamy, R.: Advances in Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining.MIT Press, 1996
Getis, A.; Ord, J.K.: The Analysis of Spatial Association by Use of Distance Statistics.Geographical Analysis, Vol 24, NO.3 (July 1992), 189–205
Good, Ph.: Permutation Tests.Springer-Verlag, Berlin 1986
Jones, E.K. ; Roydhouse, A. : Iterative Design of Case Retrieval Systems.Victoria University of Welligton, New Zealand, CS-TR-94/6, see also: Proc.of the AAAI-94, Workshop on CBR, Seattle, Washington, 1994
Kitano, H.; Shimazu, H.; Shibata, A.: A Methodology for Building LargeScale Case-Based Systems.in: Proc. of the AAAI-93, Washington, 1993
Lee, J.K.; Oh, S.B.; Shin, J.C.: Unik-FCST: Knowledge-assisted adjustment of statistical forecast.Expert Systems with Applications, Vol. 1, 39–49
Lekkas, G.P.; Arouris, N.M.; Viras, L.L.: Case-Based Reasoning in Environmental Monitoring Applications.Applied Artificial Intelligence, Vol. 8, 1994, 349–376
Marshall, R.J.: A Review of the Statistical Analysis of Spatial Patterns of Disease.J. R. Statist. Soc. A (1991) 154, Part 3, 421–441
Piatetsky-Shapiro, G.; Frawley, W.J. (Eds.): Knowledge Discovery in Databases.AAAI Press, Menlo Park, 1991
Pyle, G.F.: The Diffusion of Influenza.Rowman &Littlefield, Totowa NJ 1986
Rothman, K.J.: Modern Epidemiology.Little Brown, Boston, Toronto 1986
Schmidt, R.; Heindl, B.; Pollwein, B.; Gierl, L.: Abstraction of Data and Time for Prognoses of the Kidney Function in a Case-Based Reasoning System.in J. Brender, J.P. Christensen et al.(eds.): Proc. of Medical Informatics Europe ’96, IOS Press, Technology and Informatics, Vol. 34, Part A, 570–574
Schumann, H.; Lopez de Chavez, N.; Graw, K.U.: Visual Analysis as an efficient Tool for the Exploration of Human Health Data.in this volume
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 1998 B. G. Teubner Verlagsgesellschaft Leipzig
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Bull, M., Kundt, G., Gierl, L. (1998). An Early Warning System for Detection and Prediction of Outbreaks of Epidemics. In: Gierl, L., Cliff, A.D., Valleron, AJ., Farrington, P., Bull, M. (eds) Geomed ’97. Informatik und Unternehmensführung. Vieweg+Teubner Verlag, Wiesbaden. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-322-95397-1_16
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-322-95397-1_16
Publisher Name: Vieweg+Teubner Verlag, Wiesbaden
Print ISBN: 978-3-8154-2311-0
Online ISBN: 978-3-322-95397-1
eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive